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href="/guaranteed-income-solutions/fixed-term-investment/guaranteed-income-drawdown" target="_self" class="" title="Guaranteed Income Drawdown" role="menuitem"><span>Guaranteed Income Drawdown</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li></ul></div></li><li class="has-sub"><a href="/personal-protection" target="_self" class="" title="Protection" role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Protection</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level1"><ul><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Personal Protection</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">Products</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/personal-protection" target="_self" class="" title="Personal Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Personal Protection</span></a></li><li><a href="/personal-protection/income-protection" target="_self" class="" title="Income Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Income Protection</span></a></li><li><a href="/personal-protection/life-and-critical-illness" target="_self" class="" title="Life and Critical Illness" role="menuitem"><span>Life and Critical Illness</span></a></li><li><a href="/personal-protection/life-protection" target="_self" class="" title="Life Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Life Protection</span></a></li><li><a href="/personal-protection/personal-sick-pay" target="_self" class="" title="Personal Sick Pay" role="menuitem"><span>Personal Sick Pay</span></a></li><li><a href="/personal-protection/family-income-benefit" target="_self" class="" title="Family Income Benefit" role="menuitem"><span>Family Income Benefit</span></a></li><li><a href="/personal-protection/gift-inter-vivos" target="_self" class="" title="Gift Inter Vivos" role="menuitem"><span>Gift Inter Vivos</span></a></li></ul></li><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/personal-protection/flexible-protection-plan" target="_self" class="" title="Flexible Protection Plan" role="menuitem"><span>Flexible Protection Plan</span></a></li><li><a href="/personal-protection/income-protection-solutions" target="_self" class="" title="Income Protection Solutions" role="menuitem"><span>Income Protection Solutions</span></a></li><li><a href="https://www.lvadviser.com/service/launchers/adviser/executelauncher?launcher=fpp-quote-multi" target="_blank" class="" title="Quote &amp; apply" role="menuitem"><span>Quote &amp; apply</span></a></li><li><a href="https://www.lvadviser.com/service/launchers/adviser/executelauncher?launcher=protection-progress-hub" target="_blank" class="" title="Protection Progress Hub" role="menuitem"><span>Protection Progress Hub</span></a></li><li><a href="/online-services/fastway/pre-uw-tool" target="_self" class="" title="Pre-underwriting tool" role="menuitem"><span>Pre-underwriting tool</span></a></li><li><a href="/online-services/personal-protection-tools-and-calculators" target="_self" class="" title="Tools &amp; calculators" role="menuitem"><span>Tools &amp; calculators</span></a></li><li><a href="/personal-protection/why-income-protection" target="_self" class="" title="Why Income Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Why Income Protection</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Business Protection</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">Products</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/business-protection" target="_self" class="" title="Business Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Business Protection</span></a></li><li><a href="/business-protection/relevant-life-cover" target="_self" class="" title="Relevant Life Cover" role="menuitem"><span>Relevant Life Cover</span></a></li><li><a href="/business-protection/key-person-cover" target="_self" class="" title="Key Person Cover" role="menuitem"><span>Key Person Cover</span></a></li><li><a href="/business-protection/share-and-partnership-protection" target="_self" class="" title="Share &amp; Partnership Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Share &amp; Partnership Protection</span></a></li><li><a href="/business-protection/executive-income-protection" target="_self" class="" title="Executive Income Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Executive Income Protection</span></a></li></ul></li><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="https://www.lvadviser.com/service/launchers/adviser/executelauncher?launcher=fpp-quote-multi" target="_blank" class="" title="Quote &amp; apply" role="menuitem"><span>Quote &amp; apply</span></a></li><li><a href="/online-services/business-protection-tools-and-calculators" target="_self" class="" title="Tools &amp; calculators" role="menuitem"><span>Tools &amp; calculators</span></a></li><li><a href="/business-protection/trusts" target="_self" class="" title="Business Protection &amp; Trusts" role="menuitem"><span>Business Protection &amp; Trusts</span></a></li><li><a href="/business-protection/tax-treatment" target="_self" class="" title="Tax treatment" role="menuitem"><span>Tax treatment</span></a></li><li><a href="/business-protection/business-protection-guide" target="_self" class="" title="Guide to Business Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Guide to Business Protection</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li></ul></div></li><li class="has-sub"><a href="/equity-release" target="_self" class="" title="Equity Release" role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Equity Release</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level1"><ul><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Products</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">Products</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/equity-release" target="_self" class="" title="Equity Release" role="menuitem"><span>Equity Release</span></a></li><li><a href="/equity-release/lifetime-mortgage-lump-sum" target="_self" class="" title="Lifetime Mortgage Lump Sum Plus" role="menuitem"><span>Lifetime Mortgage Lump Sum Plus</span></a></li><li><a href="/equity-release/lifetime-mortgage-drawdown" target="_self" class="" title="Lifetime Mortgage Drawdown Plus" role="menuitem"><span>Lifetime Mortgage Drawdown Plus</span></a></li><li><a href="/equity-release/lifetime-mortgage-lump-sum-lifestyle" target="_self" class="" title="Lifetime Mortgage Lump Sum Lifestyle" role="menuitem"><span>Lifetime Mortgage Lump Sum Lifestyle</span></a></li><li><a href="/equity-release/lifetime-mortgage-drawdown-lifestyle" target="_self" class="" title="Lifetime Mortgage Drawdown Lifestyle" role="menuitem"><span>Lifetime Mortgage Drawdown Lifestyle</span></a></li></ul></li><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/contact-us/equity-release" target="_self" class="" title="Contact us" role="menuitem"><span>Contact us</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Resources</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">Resources</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/online-services/equity-release-portal" target="_self" class="" title="Equity Release Portal" role="menuitem"><span>Equity Release Portal</span></a></li><li><a href="/online-services/equity-release-portal/faqs" target="_self" class="" title="Equity Release Portal FAQs" role="menuitem"><span>Equity Release Portal FAQs</span></a></li><li><a href="/equity-release/adviser-marketing-hub" target="_self" class="" title="Adviser Marketing Hub" role="menuitem"><span>Adviser Marketing Hub</span></a></li><li><a href="/knowledge-centre/video-and-webinar-library/equity-release" target="_self" class="" title="Equity Release videos and webinars" role="menuitem"><span>Equity Release videos and webinars</span></a></li><li><a href="/equity-release/early-repayment-calculator" target="_self" class="" title="Lifetime Mortgage Early Repayment Calculator" role="menuitem"><span>Lifetime Mortgage Early Repayment Calculator</span></a></li><li><a href="/equity-release/lifetime-mortgages-updates" target="_self" class="" title="Lifetime mortgages updates" role="menuitem"><span>Lifetime mortgages updates</span></a></li><li><a href="/equity-release/equity-release-council" target="_self" class="" title="Equity Release Council" role="menuitem"><span>Equity Release Council</span></a></li></ul></li><li><h3 class="section-heading">Supporting your client</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/care-navigator" target="_self" class="" title="Care navigator" role="menuitem"><span>Care navigator</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/doctors-services" target="_self" class="" title="LV= Doctor Services" role="menuitem"><span>LV= Doctor Services</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li></ul></div></li><li class="has-sub"><a href="/supporting-you" target="_self" class="" title="Support" role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Support</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level1"><ul><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Knowledge centre</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/knowledge-centre" target="_self" class="" title="Knowledge centre" role="menuitem"><span>Knowledge centre</span></a></li><li><a href="/knowledge-centre/video-and-webinar-library" target="_self" class="" title="Video and webinar library" role="menuitem"><span>Video and webinar library</span></a></li><li><a href="/knowledge-centre/protection-webinar-calendar" target="_self" class="" title="Protection webinar calendar" role="menuitem"><span>Protection webinar calendar</span></a></li><li><a href="/knowledge-centre/news-hub" target="_self" class="" title="News hub" role="menuitem"><span>News hub</span></a></li><li><a href="/knowledge-centre/article-library" target="_self" class="" title="Article library" role="menuitem"><span>Article library</span></a></li><li><a href="/knowledge-centre/fuel-for-life" target="_self" class="" title="Fuel for Life" role="menuitem"><span>Fuel for Life</span></a></li><li><a href="/knowledge-centre/reaching-resilience" target="_self" class="" title="Reaching Resilience" role="menuitem"><span>Reaching Resilience</span></a></li><li><a href="/knowledge-centre/technical-hub" target="_self" class="" title="Technical Hub" role="menuitem"><span>Technical Hub</span></a></li><li><a href="/pensions/tax-year-end" target="_self" class="" title="Tax year end" role="menuitem"><span>Tax year end</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Claims</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/supporting-you/claims" target="_self" class="" title="Claims" role="menuitem"><span>Claims</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-you/claims/our-claims-approach" target="_self" class="" title="Our approach to claims" role="menuitem"><span>Our approach to claims</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-you/claims/real-stories" target="_self" class="" title="Real stories" role="menuitem"><span>Real stories</span><span class="new">New</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Protection underwriting</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/supporting-you/protection-underwriting" target="_self" class="" title="Protection underwriting" role="menuitem"><span>Protection underwriting</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-you/protection-underwriting/misrepresentation" target="_self" class="" title="Underwriting misrepresentation" role="menuitem"><span>Underwriting misrepresentation</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Trusts</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/supporting-you/trusts" target="_self" class="" title="Trusts" role="menuitem"><span>Trusts</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-you/trusts/types-of-trust" target="_self" class="" title="Types of trusts" role="menuitem"><span>Types of trusts</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-you/trusts/trs" target="_self" class="" title="Trust Registration Service - FAQs" role="menuitem"><span>Trust Registration Service - FAQs</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a href="/supporting-you/protection-large-case-team" target="_self" class=" " title="Protection large case team" role="menuitem"><span>Protection large case team</span></a></li><li class=""><a href="/supporting-you/vulnerable-customers" target="_self" class=" " title="Vulnerable customers" role="menuitem"><span>Vulnerable customers</span></a></li><li class=""><a href="/supporting-you/suitability-letter-builder" target="_self" class=" " title="Suitability letter builder" role="menuitem"><span>Suitability letter builder</span></a></li><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Portals and integration</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">Overview</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/adviser-portal" target="_self" class="" title="Savings and Retirement Adviser Portal" role="menuitem"><span>Savings and Retirement Adviser Portal</span></a></li><li><a href="/online-services" target="_self" class="" title="Online services" role="menuitem"><span>Online services</span></a></li><li><a href="/online-services/portals" target="_self" class="" title="Third party portals" role="menuitem"><span>Third party portals</span></a></li><li><a href="/online-services/integration" target="_self" class="" title="Back office integration" role="menuitem"><span>Back office integration</span><span class="new">New</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a href="/supporting-you/setting-up-an-agency" target="_self" class=" " title="Setting up an Agency" role="menuitem"><span>Setting up an Agency</span></a></li><li class=""><a href="/supporting-you/lv-news" target="_self" class=" " title="Our future plans" role="menuitem"><span>LV= news</span></a></li><li class=""><a class="has-sub " role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Consumer Duty</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/supporting-you/consumer-duty-hub" target="_self" class="" title="Consumer Duty" role="menuitem"><span>Consumer Duty</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-you/consumer-duty-hub/protection" target="_self" class="" title="Protection" role="menuitem"><span>Protection</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-you/consumer-duty-hub/savings-and-retirement" target="_self" class="" title="Savings and Retirement" role="menuitem"><span>Savings and Retirement</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-you/consumer-duty-hub/equity-release" target="_self" class="" title="Equity Release" role="menuitem"><span>Equity Release</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a href="/supporting-your-client/why-lv" target="_self" class="has-sub " title="Why LV=" role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Why LV=</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/why-lv" target="_self" class="" title="Why LV=" role="menuitem"><span>Why LV=</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/why-lv/mutual-bonus" target="_self" class="" title="Mutual bonus" role="menuitem"><span>Mutual bonus</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/why-lv/lv-difference" target="_self" class="" title="Exit bonus" role="menuitem"><span>One-off bonus</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/why-lv/our-awards" target="_self" class="" title="Our awards" role="menuitem"><span>Our awards</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li><li class=""><a href="/supporting-your-client/member-benefits" target="_self" class="has-sub " title="Member benefits" role="menuitem" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true"><span>Member benefits</span><span class="icon-arrow"></span></a><div class="subnav level2"><ul><li><h3 class="section-heading">More</h3><ul class="children"><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/member-benefits" target="_self" class="" title="Member benefits" role="menuitem"><span>Member benefits</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/member-benefits/legal-advice" target="_self" class="" title="Legal Advice Line" role="menuitem"><span>Legal Advice Line</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/doctors-services" target="_self" class="" title="LV= Doctor Services" role="menuitem"><span>LV= Doctor Services</span></a></li><li><a href="/supporting-your-client/care-navigator" target="_self" class="" title="Care navigator" role="menuitem"><span>Care navigator</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></div></li></ul></div></li><li class="doc-library"><a href="/document-library" 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<br />
Recorded on 29 April 2026</span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=49F945C8A1A49D639D69E18C2E9697A3 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=F8BFC17E65AF2DCE2B9BC756642FFF13 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=368413853ACA236B199E0B5DDF56ECB8 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=E3ED66D4BD435EEC80B104E8CA2F2302 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=E3ED66D4BD435EEC80B104E8CA2F2302" class="" alt="Q1 Market Update Card"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div>
<script>LVSiteConfigs.components.data.push({"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"ba66ff05-4de0-469b-b7b6-2e5903ee1aac","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":{"Guid":"5eaf4346-21a5-4e40-ab8b-52457378c434"},"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"left","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1193650122/adc72b5f55?share=copy&amp;fl=sv&amp;fe=ci","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Adam Ruddle - Macro Market Update Q1 2026","type":"h2"},"transcriptContent":"<p>2026 has followed in the same vein as 2025 &ndash; we live in a world where government policy, especially in the US, is no longer there to stabilise but to disrupt, where investment strength arises not because of but in spite of government policy. The era of globalisation has been replaced by geopolitical fragmentation &ndash; and that has a profound impact on how we pursue robust but resilient investment returns. </p>\n<p>The investment questions of January and February &ndash; (i) are we in an AI bubble; (ii) are we in a private credit bubble; (iii) who will be the new Chair of the Federal Reserve; (iv) what is the potential for AI to disrupt software companies; and so (v) how do we get more exposure to Heavy Asset, Low Obsolescence, HALO, assets. These questions were eclipsed with the ferocity of the Iran War. </p>\n<p>War is a terrible stain on our humanity with deep and profound impacts on people affected; but our customers, our policyholders, our members rightly expect us to consider the investment consequences of this War.<span>&nbsp; </span>This War that would all be over in days rather than weeks, in weeks rather than months &ndash; most certainly by Christmas. Precarious as it is, it does seem like the recent ceasefire may hold &ndash; but even if it does, significant damage to global economies has already been done. The Strait of Hormuz, this most significant chokepoint of global trade that most people had not heard of before the start of March, has been pretty much closed for longer than anyone would have planned or thought. The focus has been on energy and the impact of the 20% of global oil that used to sail through the Strait, the 20% of Liquid Natural Gas and rightly so, oil prices nearly doubled hitting close to $120 a barrel for Brent Crude up from a range of $60 - $70. Even as prices have fallen slightly, it is still up about 70%. </p>\n<p>But that is not where the story ends &ndash; in fact it is barely beginning. The Strait of Hormuz is a ridiculously essential chokehold &ndash; let&rsquo;s take fertilizer, with 36% of global UREA, 29% of global ammonia, 50% of sulphur trading through the Strait. Fertilizer sorely needed at this time of year, spring sowing, when farmers are deciding what crops to plant. The inflationary impact on food prices will be more materially felt in about October time &ndash; and could persist for a year or so. Other key ingredients, raw materials like Helium where a third goes through the Strait. Helium, essential for semi-conductors used everywhere &ndash; cars, computers, smartphones &ndash; also essential for MRI Scans. 6% of petrochemicals used in medicines like painkillers, antibiotics and vaccines sail through the Strait. Over 50% of Asia&rsquo;s Naphtha goes through the Strait &ndash; Naphtha used for plastics in all sorts of items, car bumpers, kitchen utensils, syringes, gloves, bottles, waterpipes &ndash; as one analyst put it &ldquo;When naphtha disappears, it does not produce a single dramatic headline. It produces ten thousand small shortages that arrive weeks apart and never quite get traced back to a single cause<span>&rdquo;</span></p>\n<p>This near-total closure of the Strait has the potential to become a global recessionary event hurting economies with raging inflation from supply challenges. Interest rates, particularly in Europe, the US and the UK are elevated as we brace for the Central Banks reaction to vaulting inflation. Where inflation pressures had started to ease, banks were expected to cut rates. The Federal Reserve had two cuts priced in and a 50% chance of a third before the War moving to 50% chance of just one cut. Worse at home, where the Bank of England had 2 cuts priced in which reversed to one expected hike. The ECB moved from a 50% chance of a cut to two hikes expected.</p>\n<p>But as the War has started to ease, over April, the S&amp;P500 hit an all time high, now up 3.9% over 2026 &ndash; 30.6% up over the last 12 months. The Nikkei is up 18.6% over the year, a staggering 70.4% over the last 12 months. Why are equity markets looking through what could be a painful inflationary shock? We consider three primary reasons &ndash; firstly, the inflationary shock could be temporary offset by weaker consumer appetite, sentiment and spending that dampens the inflationary spiral before it starts; secondly, interest rates are considerably higher than they were at, say, the start of the Ukraine War, which had a sharp inflationary impact. The Bank of England&rsquo;s bank rate had just increased from 0.25% to 0.5%. At time of recording, the bank rate is currently 3.75%. Interest rates are more restrictive at current levels which may offset this inflationary shock. And thirdly, equity markets are looking through inflation risks, anticipating that the management of the firms invested in will be more innovative and, with the benefit of AI (which was in it&rsquo;s infancy when the Ukraine War started), management will be better placed to reorganise, replace and reprice labour &ndash; for a Central Bank like the Federal Reserve, their dual mandate to combat inflation and protect the economy from unemployment may mean that cuts are increasingly more likely. </p>\n<p>Investment strategies need to be dynamic to manage the challenges ahead. With our smoothed managed funds, our smoothing mechanism cushions the impact of sharp volatility underpin by resilient investment strategies and award-winning expertise. Over 2026 so far, we&rsquo;re proud that our smoothed price and smoothed value has not fallen on a single day &ndash; including each day of the Iran War. Our tried and tested, rigorous investment process along with it&rsquo;s robust dual governance, continues to generate superior investment outcomes for our advisers, our customers and our members. This remains our focus and our priority. </p>\n<p>Until next time, goodbye. </p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=E3ED66D4BD435EEC80B104E8CA2F2302","editButton":null,"alt":"Q1 Market Update Card","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=368413853ACA236B199E0B5DDF56ECB8","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=E3ED66D4BD435EEC80B104E8CA2F2302"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=49F945C8A1A49D639D69E18C2E9697A3","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/q1-2026-marco-market-update-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=F8BFC17E65AF2DCE2B9BC756642FFF13"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Adam Ruddle - Macro Market Update Q1 2026","type":""},"description":"In his latest macro update, CIO Adam Ruddle reflects on a volatile start to 2026 as escalating tensions in Iran reshaped inflation and interest-rate expectations, with disruption around the Strait of Hormuz rippling beyond energy into critical global supply chains. Despite the uncertainty, he outlines why equity markets have remained resilient.<br />\n<br />\nRecorded on 29 April 2026","isEditMode":false,"html":null}});</script>
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    <div class="react-component videoonethird" data-name="videoOneThird" data-id="d8010e0a-73b1-431b-a8b3-b88af07afc17">
        <div id="d8010e0a-73b1-431b-a8b3-b88af07afc17"><div id="bec264cb-3efa-4bb7-865f-c7ba74664b3d" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Market Perspectives: Oil Price Shocks and What Comes Next</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>LV= CIO Adam Ruddle is joined by BlackRock&rsquo;s Nicholas Fawcett to explore how recent Middle East tensions and supply-chain disruption are influencing inflation, interest rates and market volatility - and where advisers can find opportunities amidst the noise.</p>
<p>
<p><span>Recorded on 29 April 2026 </span></p>
</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=4AB609E368E57DB7A4AF0410456C1147 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=F4B86333DF5D19ECCC8F0503C29E9958 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=137635475927CBE329587A85AF4006DC 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=3849627A4641CFDE7BE725312E487839 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=3849627A4641CFDE7BE725312E487839" class="" alt="Oil share price card"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div>
<script>LVSiteConfigs.components.data.push({"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"d8010e0a-73b1-431b-a8b3-b88af07afc17","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":{"Guid":"bec264cb-3efa-4bb7-865f-c7ba74664b3d"},"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1193650119/a5119f3471?share=copy&amp;fl=sv&amp;fe=ci ","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Market Perspectives: Oil Price Shocks and What Comes Next","type":"h2"},"transcriptContent":"<p>Geopolitical shocks, supply-chain disruption and a faster-moving AI buildout are reshaping markets &mdash; and raising the prospect of higher, more volatile inflation. In this Q1 Market Perspectives edition, LV= Chief Investment Officer Adam Ruddle is joined by Nicholas Fawcett from the BlackRock Investment Institute to explore what recent Middle East tensions could mean for rates, why equity and bond markets may be telling different stories, and how advisers can position portfolios to manage risk while still finding opportunity.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Hello and welcome to the latest in our view from the CIO series. Well, we're nearing the end of April, but oh, what a few months we've had. The year started off well. Equity markets hit all-time highs in January and February, only to be disrupted in March by the Iran War, stoking those dying embers of inflation and erasing trillions from global markets. The near complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz meant that energy prices were spiralling. </p>\n<p>And it wasn't just that. It wasn't just that energy crisis. It was compounded by other related shortages. Urea and ammonia, key ingredients of fertilizer. Helium, a key ingredient of semiconductors. Naphtha, a key ingredient for the plastics that we use each and every day. And financial advisers have had to try to continue to balance the risks of persistent inflation against a backdrop of economic uncertainty, raising familiar questions around stagflation and the forward path of interest rates. </p>\n<p>But as the war has de-escalated and we've seen equity markets bounce back to new heights, we've seen that these returns may be coming from slightly different areas. And so now, more than ever, it's important for advisers to understand where the risks and opportunities may lie. </p>\n<p>And so I'm delighted to be joined by BlackRock's very own Nicholas Fawcett. Nicholas is a member of the Economic and Markets Research Group at the BlackRock Investment Institute. Very well placed indeed to help us make sense of the markets, navigate where we are today and where investors might be best placed to look next. Nicholas, thank you for coming. Good to have you with us. </p>\n<p>Thank you for the invitation. </p>\n<p>Perhaps we'll get into our first question, geopolitical risks. particularly the conflict that's happening in the Middle East, these create short-term market volatility. And from an investor's perspective, what can markets look through versus what genuinely matters? And if we think about these shocks, how do they drive inflation expectations and interest rate dynamics?</p>\n<p><strong>Nicholas Fawcett</strong></p>\n<p>That's a great question. So who produces, what's produced, how it's produced? And although these are big trends that are going to play out over the course of decades, they're already affecting things now. So Middle East conflict is one. We've also seen AI really dominate headlines this year as well. And in terms of what matters for markets, I guess, the most important consequence is that because these are supply constraints, they can push up on inflation at the same time as they start to weigh on growth. </p>\n<p>We've seen that with the Middle East conflict already. And that puts central banks in a bind because central bankers have to choose whether they squeeze inflation or they try and protect jobs and growth. They have a difficult task in front of them. And what the kind of market and macro result is that you have more volatile inflation and probably higher inflation as well. </p>\n<p>And that's a feature of the environment we're in. It's not something that will fade away once the Middle East conflict resolves. It's a feature of the environment that's here to stay. So what it means for inflation expectations is that they may be higher now than they were in the decade before the pandemic, for example, and rates are going to be higher. So in this environment, we have to prepare for higher rates even once the initial conflict subsides.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>And going, I guess, beyond oil and that impact on inflation, these geopolitical tensions, particularly around essential choke points like the Strait of Hormuz, will disrupt critical global supply chains. Where do these risks tend to be underappreciated by markets? And will any of these disruptions, or where will these disruptions have a lasting economic impact?</p>\n<p><strong>Nicholas Fawcett</strong></p>\n<p>It's a great one, because I think you put your finger on it. It's the fact that the Strait of Hormuz was actually shut meant this was a much broader shock than simply a narrow oil price increase. And I certainly don't think that markets fully appreciated that. And even now, maybe they still don't. It's a much broader shock than just a hit to oil prices. And that has a couple of implications. </p>\n<p>The first is that not all economies are affected equally. So this is a much bigger deal for Europe, for Asia, than it is for the US. And that's kind of been reflected in equity markets so far. And secondly, because it's a different kind of shock, it's a broader supply chain shock than just an energy shock, it means that the impact could be a lot more broadly felt. </p>\n<p>Just to motivate that, if we think about what happened in the COVID pandemic, that was a big, broad supply shock, caused a lot of bottlenecks where there were big shifts in spending towards goods spending. Goods capacity just couldn't keep up. And so you have very sharp increases in inflation, which lasted for a long time, very stubborn. It's hard to get rid of. And that kind of environment is, first of all, more volatile. And secondly, it has longer term implications beyond the immediate confines of the Middle East shock.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Thanks, Nicholas. And just drawing on that a little bit more, I guess equity markets have rallied in the past two to three weeks, perhaps signalling that from an equity market perspective, the Iran war is firmly in the rearview mirror. But bond markets, as you say, have rightly been thinking about central banks keeping rates higher, certainly higher than we expected at the start of the year. Why is there that divergence? And Should we expect markets to shift?</p>\n<p><strong>Nicholas Fawcett</strong></p>\n<p>Yeah, it's really interesting. There is this disconnect. I mean, in a sense, there's three ways. There's equity markets, as you said, they've rallied. They're now higher than they were before the conflict started. Oil prices, I mean, we're speaking at the end of April. Oil prices are currently above $100. They're expected to remain really high through the rest of the year. </p>\n<p>And at the same time, interest rate markets have priced in more tight policy from central banks than they did before. It comes back, trying to explain it comes back to the mega forces that I mentioned at the beginning, because we're seeing the intersection of different mega forces explaining these different market pockets. Let's just take equities. One thing that we've learned over the last couple of months, even while the conflict has been raging, is that the AI transformation looks to be supercharged. </p>\n<p>So if you look at expectations of CapEx spending for the AI build out over the course of the next five or six years, they were already pretty lofty at the beginning of the year. And expectations look like they're going to be beaten quite handsomely to the tune of 15 to 25% over the course of the next five years. So clearly that's kind of transformed, that's continuing to be turbocharged. </p>\n<p>And what we're starting to see is that there are indications that that's going to translate into higher earnings for companies. So earnings expectations, if you track them over the course of the first couple of months of this year, have actually been ramping up. So while equity prices have gone down because of the conflict, earnings have gone up. And when you kind of think about the future potential being stronger because of AI, that kind of rationalizes why equity markets, especially in the US and some emerging markets exposed to the AI mega force, have actually done pretty well. </p>\n<p>And so we think that's an enduring thing kind of independently of what's happening in the Middle East. If you think about the rates markets, I guess the story is a bit more nuanced, because if you think about what's happening in Europe or in certain Asian markets, it makes sense for central banks to be worried about this inflation caused by the conflict, because there's obviously the first effect of higher energy prices. </p>\n<p>Then you get what I was alluding to before from your question about the breadth of the supply shock, you worry about energy inflation creeping into other prices and it becoming a much more kind of long-term enduring problem that central banks have to try and address. It may be that they choose to ignore the inflation and think, well, actually it's going to be a kind of short-term thing and they can get away with ignoring it.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;Or they may choose to try and respond now with higher policy rates. haven't chosen that course yet, but we're certainly looking out for remarks from central bankers as to whether they will keep doing that. In the US, it's a different picture, actually, because they're not as exposed to the Middle East energy shock so much. So the direct effect on inflation isn't actually as big as it is in Europe. But they have a deeper underlying problem, because actually, even before the conflict started, underlying inflationary pressures were really high, coming from a bit from tariffs, a bit from the labour market being very tight because of demographic changes, so population aging, migration curbs. </p>\n<p>They are set to keep wage pressures really elevated and essentially too high for inflation to settle back down at the 2% target for the Federal Reserve. So again, this is an environment of higher inflationary pressure, but maybe for different reasons. And so the sense that the market narrative has shifted to appreciate that now makes a lot of sense that markets are now expecting higher rates than they were before the conflict, because in a sense, the market conditions, the underlying inflationary conditions warrant that.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Well, thanks, Nicholas. It is really clear that we are living in very volatile times geopolitics, inflation, possibly, stagflation, all in play. And for a financial adviser, where should they be focused the most today? How can they position the their portfolios to navigate this market uncertainty, but also still identify opportunities.</p>\n<p><strong>Nicholas Fawcett</strong></p>\n<p>Yeah, it's a great one because the environment raises some really profound challenges for portfolio managers and how you position portfolios. Because if you think about the near term, you think, well, how do you protect yourself from the volatility in the market when traditional things that you would normally go to, like to diversify, for example, you'd use government bonds in the past as balance against equity market drops. They just haven't worked. </p>\n<p>And in the long term, you think, well, if the world could look radically different in coming decades, depending on, say, how AI reshapes growth, what kind of portfolio do you want to construct now versus what might it kind of look like in a couple of years' time? And the answer is that you really need to have the right lens to understand what's going on, because once you understand the kind of fundamental drivers, that allows you to start tracking them. </p>\n<p>And so you can assess whether your expectation is on track or whether it's evolving slightly differently. So just to kind of bring it to life, if you think that the AI mega force could transform how fast economies could grow, for portfolios, in a sense, what it means is regardless of your investment horizon, you need to be really dynamic. You need to be ready to change allocations, even for long-term portfolios, if you think that you're on a different trajectory. </p>\n<p>And if you're thinking about kind of near-term portfolios, you need to be able to diversify with maybe different diversifiers to the ones that have worked in the past. The main message really is that you need to think really carefully about where you're getting exposure for kind of different themes. So are you getting enough exposure to the AI mega force, for example? And also, what kind of exposure are you getting? Is it coming from the right kind of sources to give you that diversified return?</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Great. Well, thank you very much, Nicholas. Those have been really helpful insights. Well, at Alvi, we try to make sure that we blend the expertise from BlackRock, their scale, but also our award-winning investment teams to deliver superior investment performance. </p>\n<p>In our smoothed managed funds, we overlay this performance with our smoothing mechanism, which for over 20 years has been proven to help investors be cushioned by some of the sharp volatility, not dissimilar to the volatility that we've seen this year so far. We're here to help manage these risks, to pursue the opportunities and to deliver strong and stable investment returns. Well, thank you, Nicholas, for joining us again. Thank you for your insights. And thank you for joining us. Until next time, goodbye.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>&lt;End&gt;</p>\n<p>For UK financial adviser use only. Client capital at risk. </p>\n<p>Please remember that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns. </p>\n<span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">Our smoothing process helps to reduce the impact of market volatility, but it won't prevent your investment from dropping in value.</span><br />","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=3849627A4641CFDE7BE725312E487839","editButton":null,"alt":"Oil share price card","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=137635475927CBE329587A85AF4006DC","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=3849627A4641CFDE7BE725312E487839"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=4AB609E368E57DB7A4AF0410456C1147","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-oil-price-share-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=F4B86333DF5D19ECCC8F0503C29E9958"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Market Perspectives: Oil Price Shocks and What Comes Next","type":""},"description":"<p>LV= CIO Adam Ruddle is joined by BlackRock&rsquo;s Nicholas Fawcett to explore how recent Middle East tensions and supply-chain disruption are influencing inflation, interest rates and market volatility - and where advisers can find opportunities amidst the noise.</p>\n<p>\n<p><span>Recorded on 29 April 2026 </span></p>\n</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}});</script>
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        <div id="caa3e325-4dac-4d24-a769-cd3fb94b1ef2"><div id="ca6eb1fe-a238-4585-ba0d-863d27c9b1dc" class="intro-Text-container "><div class="main-container-fullbleed"><div class="grid  image-left"><div class="order1 grid-flex"><h2 class="title left">Video and webinar library</h2></div><div class="grid content-body order3"><span class="rte description left">To watch some of our previous content, access our library of videos and webinars below.</span></div></div></div></div></div>
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        <div id="0d46fb3e-7ad1-4361-b4e6-c71d9d948ac3"><div id="00847eb8-c89e-4ad3-a4eb-d6058edc0b9c" class="vertical-tabs-container "><div class="tabs-container"><button class="tab btn-body-copy  active">January 2026</button><button class="tab btn-body-copy ">December 2025</button><button class="tab btn-body-copy ">October 2025</button><button class="tab btn-body-copy ">August 2025</button><button class="tab btn-body-copy ">April 2025</button><button class="tab btn-body-copy ">January 2025</button><button class="tab btn-body-copy ">December 2024</button></div><div class="component-area active"><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848638" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Adam Ruddle - Macro Market Update Q4 2025</h2><span class="rte description body-copy">In his latest macro market outlook, CIO Adam Ruddle reflects on a quarter that saw record investor outflows amid concerns around UK fiscal policy, concentrated technology stock gains, and fears of an AI-driven market bubble. Yet, despite the noise, many equity markets delivered strong returns, reinforcing the value of diversification, active management, and disciplined investing.<br />
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Recorded on 13 January 2026&nbsp;</span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=43D8E92C94227AA7FF076AF7A6174E96 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=5801F795F8D63EC094BDF5828F56915E 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=1AA78AF415BB498D3427B869A1A2B281 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=5CE2A29BA7E0CDC6E8EFCE6A5735CEA5 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=5CE2A29BA7E0CDC6E8EFCE6A5735CEA5" class="" alt="macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848639" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Market Perspectives: A 2026 Investment Outlook</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>2026 is shaping up to be a year where AI, geopolitics, and policy shifts could redefine portfolios. How can advisers prepare? LV= Chief Investment Officer, Adam Ruddle, is joined by Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, to unpack the key themes shaping the investment landscape in 2026.</p>
<p>
<p><span>Recorded on 13 January 2026 </span></p>
</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=0C56EB5272E1C6B6A6740B9F21F62A4A 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=355424AB193F4EA060DFA935EBB7D62A 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=E21A8E14C141D37251755C3445A18C4A 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=CAB5340DD4E0ABA29BDE6AB23F3881E5 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=CAB5340DD4E0ABA29BDE6AB23F3881E5" class="" alt="market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848639" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">2026 investment outlook - navigating markets for your client conversations</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>Explore the 2026 market outlook and hear practical insights to support your client conversations for the year ahead.</p>
<p>LV= investment experts are joined by Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, to discuss macro trends, emerging investment themes, and both tactical and strategic considerations for 2026. The session also includes an update on Smoothed Managed Fund performance in 2025, how our funds navigated market volatility, and the benefits of our five risk-rated funds for clients seeking confidence through uncertain markets.</p>
<p>Recorded on 27 January 2026</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=9A15EFA527E0AFEF382E30F8B325D6AB 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=E6198615EDA770914372FAC23237CE83 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=631FA0E7E3042BE826C81A2BCDF2D7A0 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=64E6E37052CF6BC84B4C74B12D73012A 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=64E6E37052CF6BC84B4C74B12D73012A" class="" alt="Placeholder"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open video transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-area "><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848639" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">20 years of smoother journeys: shaping our investments strategy</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>Listen now to explore how our strategic asset allocation and smoothing expertise help deliver stability through changing market conditions while remaining focused on long-term growth. Markets often respond to short-term events such as the Autumn Budget, but long-term positioning is key to navigating volatility. Hear expert views on recent market reactions, how our partnership with BlackRock informs long-term strategy, and our 20-year track record of delivering smoothed investment outcomes.</p>
<p>Recorded on 02 December 2025</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=9A15EFA527E0AFEF382E30F8B325D6AB 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=E6198615EDA770914372FAC23237CE83 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=631FA0E7E3042BE826C81A2BCDF2D7A0 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=64E6E37052CF6BC84B4C74B12D73012A 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=64E6E37052CF6BC84B4C74B12D73012A" class="" alt="Placeholder"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open video transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-area "><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848640" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Adam Ruddle - Macro Market Update Q3 2025</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>
<p><span>What&rsquo;s next for the UK economy ahead of the Autumn Budget? LV= Chief Investment Officer Adam Ruddle speaks with Vivek Paul, BlackRock&rsquo;s Global Head of Portfolio Research and UK Chief Investment Strategist, to explore the key challenges shaping UK markets, from inflation and fiscal constraints to the outlook for interest rates and investor sentiment.</span></p>
<p><span>
<p><span>Recorded on 7 October 2025 </span></p>
</span></p>
</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=0D3DB46090C2C5F1ED09F3C39A86ADC5 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=D972C7F926AF2E9D90DFE99146E35605 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=37F0610D809781838BA6CBF5EEA0D671 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=DAC8ECD080CBAD324F3B6A1190DED40C 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=DAC8ECD080CBAD324F3B6A1190DED40C" class="" alt="Macro market update video thumbnail"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Video Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848640" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder left"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Market Perspectives: Navigating UK Markets</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>Defying expectations and rewriting old market rules. In this quarter&rsquo;s Macro Market Update, Adam Ruddle shares insights on what&rsquo;s behind this year&rsquo;s rally, from rate cuts and trade deals to the growing influence of AI and emerging markets.</p>
<p>Recorded on 7 October 2025</p>
<br /></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=AD792EE39B0788BEBC8A3D5E937358F5 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=E6F4D31EBAC463CDF3E9A35B08322814 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=62789316ECB4149EB558C0427007634E 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=2F0610A7B94DB69F9FB39CC99B1BD773 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=2F0610A7B94DB69F9FB39CC99B1BD773" class="" alt="Two men shaking hands"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Video Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-area "><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848640" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Market Perspectives: One year of strategic partnership</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>How has our strategic partnership enabled us to navigate challenging markets? LV= CIO Adam Ruddle is joined by Chris Ellis Thomas, Portfolio Manager &amp; Lead Strategist at BlackRock, to reflect on the first year of our partnership and the strategies that have delivered strong, risk-adjusted returns for our members.</p>
<p>Recorded on 7 August 2025</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=6000FBC25C714011380481A6C227632A 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=D71F434AA8991B89816DC42A341F2A2E 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=F597727DD04E368CDD6C8BCD452F8479 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=D386A5515A887EE4D776D1211742B9EA 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=D386A5515A887EE4D776D1211742B9EA" class="" alt="Still of video"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Video Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848640" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Adam Ruddle - 2025 Mid-year Update</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>Join Adam Ruddle as he shares how we have navigated an environment of volatility amidst a period of tariffs, policy instability, weakening jobs data, and rising inflation in his 2025 Mid-year update.</p>
<p>Recorded on 7 August 2025</p>
<br /></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=7E11A7E634B2FC07A21051C8AFB61A0C 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=503D583BC045EF3D7DF096348047103F 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=D0D594DEB64C816AA584A1547A5D37B9 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=E982DAF5C3330F4A25208BCC9428D94B 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=E982DAF5C3330F4A25208BCC9428D94B" class="" alt="Intro card to video"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Video Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-area "><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848640" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Market Perspectives: How AI is transforming markets</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>In our latest episode of Market Perspectives, our CIO, Adam Ruddle is joined by Simona Paravani, CFA, Global CIO of Solutions at BlackRock and affiliated professor at Cambridge University, to discuss how AI is transforming markets, firm practice management, and investment strategies.</p>
<p>Recorded on 7 April 2025</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=277525F536FAAE00A8BCA8D3BA0CC24D 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=F7ECDF09ED038CE4161CD83B04712E30 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=A52AF261152AF724B499AF1EB638EDE1 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=FD2FD98027196BCF13E424C58C3EA0E9 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=FD2FD98027196BCF13E424C58C3EA0E9" class="" alt="Still of &#x27;Market Perspective with Simona Paravani&#x27; video"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Video Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848640" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h2 class="title h2">Macro Market Update: Q1 2025</h2><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>In his latest video update, Adam Ruddle, Chief Investment Officer at LV=, explores three major events that disrupted early expectations for 2025 and shifted market momentum in surprising directions.</p>
<p>Watch the video to find out what happened, what&rsquo;s been shaping the markets, and what it could mean for your clients in the months ahead.</p>
<p>Recorded on 7 April 2025</p>
<br /></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=9F5988E31DD4AEA6A3525103182225CF 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=6473BBA3999EC5797D49A96908119027 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=2DA997D5F537B9974176D4537F413CA6 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=A70EA0FD447CF9E99A0341AA784D7EC8 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=A70EA0FD447CF9E99A0341AA784D7EC8" class="" alt="Video card with &#x27;Q1 2025 Macro Market Update&#x27; title"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open Video Transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-area "><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848640" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h3 class="title h2">Market Perspectives: What megatrends might we see in 2025?</h3><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>LV= CIO Adam Ruddle sits down with Devan Nathwani, Portfolio Strategist at the BlackRock Investment Institute to discuss the megatrends that could define the markets over the next twelve months and beyond.</p>
<p>Recorded on 14 January 2025</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=2F223D35302F5DF7D1C5750840BA2836 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=F956E6CE5FD4AF13BE79CC9A3E1EE7D2 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=C86ABD85D533102ABE343CF9EAEE94F1 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=7070ED6BA2FB929F6FF65A089427342B 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=7070ED6BA2FB929F6FF65A089427342B" class="" alt="Still of video"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open video transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848641" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h3 class="title h2">Macro Market Update: Q4 2024</h3><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>With over 65 national elections across the globe and loose fiscal policy and threat of tariffs driving inflation in the US, the final quarter of 2024 was eventful.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Will Q1 2025 offer more of the same?</p>
<p>Recorded on 14 January 2025</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=E61A5AB6AD33D5041B372F3A181F073B 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=E5A648157DCE0466CACE4346E6929812 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=274974E93870006072DE2FDBA89D83A6 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=ABA22AE9646C5D7C6D2E44A4DE4F4045 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=ABA22AE9646C5D7C6D2E44A4DE4F4045" class="" alt="Title card - Q4 2024 Macro Market Update"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open video transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-area "><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848641" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h3 class="title h2">Market Perspectives: What the US election results mean for UK investors</h3><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>How have markets reacted to the new President-elect?&nbsp;</p>
<p>LV= CIO Adam Ruddle sits down with Vivek Paul, Head of Portfolio Research and UK Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock Investment Institute, for an insight into what changes we might expect from US equities as we look to 2025.</p>
<p>Recorded on 12 November 2024</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=AF488B4392F7F89D770FA51627541EEC 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=B46D6D978C12AAFB99BF644374DECD64 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=8D597E6F86E7879F929E9B0F02740E37 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=8B4A2AC813C9E31F5E23CFF84C57AE11 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=8B4A2AC813C9E31F5E23CFF84C57AE11" class="" alt="Still of video"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open video transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component-holder"><div id="1780522848641" class="video-overlay"><div class="video-thumbanail video-holder right"><div class="content"><h3 class="title h2">Macro Market Update: Q3 2024</h3><span class="rte description body-copy"><p>A return to sharp market volatility over July and August, a Chinese stimulus package in September, a blockbuster UK budget in October and a set of decisive US election results in November.</p>
<p>LV= CIO, Adam Ruddle examines an eventful quarter in this macro market update.</p>
<p>Recorded on 12 November 2024</p></span></div><div class="image-holder"><div class="video-wrapper"><div class="video-holder  bg-color"><div class="poster"><picture><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=367&amp;amp;ch=207&amp;amp;hash=BCFEE6A19213F3E55ECC78433BEEF971 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=734&amp;amp;ch=414&amp;amp;hash=0EDCA2DBB6276F6114A91DF1395D2666 2x" media="(min-width: 769px)"/><source srcSet="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=768&amp;amp;ch=386&amp;amp;hash=B39D4BB320C0EAF3D74AC80D380E5291 1x,/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=504240DFFB4535B7A655C4EA118FF784 2x" media="(min-width: 0px)"/><img src="/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;amp;cy=0&amp;amp;cw=1536&amp;amp;ch=772&amp;amp;hash=504240DFFB4535B7A655C4EA118FF784" class="" alt="Title card - Q3 2024 Macro Market Update"/></picture><a href="#" class="icon-play play-button textlink" title="PLAY">PLAY</a></div></div><div class="transcript"><button class="icon-plus">Open video transcript</button></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div>
<script>LVSiteConfigs.components.data.push({"name":"verticalTabs","reactName":"Athena.verticalTabs","id":"0d46fb3e-7ad1-4361-b4e6-c71d9d948ac3","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":{"Guid":"00847eb8-c89e-4ad3-a4eb-d6058edc0b9c"},"tabs":[{"Id":null,"tabHeading":"January 2026","tabContent":[{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"c054fa76-22cd-4788-9633-9fe7609cb676","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1161468647/9bb0aa0c3c?share=copy&amp;fl=sv&amp;fe=ci","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Adam Ruddle - Macro Market Update Q4 2025","type":"h2"},"transcriptContent":"<p><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">Peter Lynch is a legendary investor and fund manager who famously was able to generate an annualised average return of 29.2% in his Magellan Fund. He once observed, &ldquo;<em>Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections or trying to anticipate corrections than has been lost in corrections themselves.&rdquo;</em> This felt particularly relevant in the fourth quarter of 2025 as many investors anxiously faced into a weakening outlook for investment markets. Firstly, there was the daunting prospect of yet another arduous UK budget that drove unhelpful speculation. Secondly, the continued surge of a handful of technology companies &ndash; illustrated at the end of October by Nvidia becoming the first company valued at over 5 Trillion USD. This was only a few months after becoming the first company to be valued at 4 Trillion in early July. The speed of this valuation amplified concerns of a potential AI bubble. With all this uncertainty, according to funds network Calastone, in October and November, investors withdrew a record 6.6bn from equity funds. &nbsp;</span></p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">That wasn&rsquo;t the best outcome for those investors as it was generally a good year for equity markets &ndash; many hitting all time highs. Even the UK market, long unloved by investors, returned 6.4% over Q4 and ended the year up 24%. European equities were up 6.5% over the quarter and 27.9% in sterling terms over the year. We even remained positive on US equities which performed decently, closing the year up 17.9% in dollar terms.</span></p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">2025 wasn&rsquo;t the year of US exceptionalism &ndash; the dollar retreated and US equity markets underperformed other developed markets. This highlighted the strengths of diversification and we benefitted from overweight positions in European equities in Q1, Japanese equities over Q2 and Emerging Markets over the second half of the year. Away from equity markets, our overweight holdings in Gold continued to outperform. Over the year, gold was up about 65% - an excellent hedge against some of the macroeconomic troubles and geopolitical tensions throughout the year. </span></p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">Our active management also ensured that we were able to benefit from dynamically hedging the USD. Along with strong stock selection, this meant that in some of our US equity funds, we were able to harvest returns over the year in excess of 20%. A significant outperformance given that, in Sterling terms, the S&amp;P500 had rose a modest 9.8%. </span></p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">Monetary policy has continued to ease where inflation fears have started to subside and are replaced by fears of weakening economies with higher unemployment rates requiring lower interest rates to stimulate economic growth. We certainly seem to be coming to the end of the easing cycle but further rate cuts are expected over 2026. </span></p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">There are a wide number of risks to manage and work through this year and we remain vigilant to harness and harvest market volatility.</span></p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">However, the messages that were relevant throughout 2025 will remain relevant in 2026. We believe it is important to stay invested, stay active, stay diversified and ultimately, stay smoothed. </span></p>\n<span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">Thanks for listening. Until next time, goodbye.</span>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=5CE2A29BA7E0CDC6E8EFCE6A5735CEA5","editButton":null,"alt":"macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=1AA78AF415BB498D3427B869A1A2B281","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=5CE2A29BA7E0CDC6E8EFCE6A5735CEA5"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=43D8E92C94227AA7FF076AF7A6174E96","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-update-q4-2025-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=5801F795F8D63EC094BDF5828F56915E"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Adam Ruddle - Macro Market Update Q4 2025","type":""},"description":"In his latest macro market outlook, CIO Adam Ruddle reflects on a quarter that saw record investor outflows amid concerns around UK fiscal policy, concentrated technology stock gains, and fears of an AI-driven market bubble. Yet, despite the noise, many equity markets delivered strong returns, reinforcing the value of diversification, active management, and disciplined investing.<br />\n<br />\nRecorded on 13 January 2026&nbsp;","isEditMode":false,"html":null}},{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"2fa173ac-a7a9-4032-aa2d-50a4bad408b7","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/reviews/c920637f-ff15-4847-ac21-402be98d2d31/videos/1157139078","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Market Perspectives: A 2026 Investment Outlook","type":"h2"},"transcriptContent":"<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Hello and welcome to the latest in our series of market perspectives. Although 2025 is in the rearview mirror, the economic uncertainty and market volatility of last year hasn't gone away. Easing monetary policy is slowing. Economic growth is weakening, unemployment is rising. And fiscal policies seem to be frequently redrawn. In this context, we now advisers and clients alike are looking for some clarity, trying to understand where are the risks and opportunities, and how might they sit as we go into 2026. Well, to help us unpack this, I am delighted to be joined by Black Rock&rsquo;s Global Chief Investment Strategist. And not only that, an international influencer and a renowned market leader in investment strategies Wei Li, welcome great pleasure to have you with.</p>\n<p><strong>Wei Li</strong></p>\n<p>Yes thanks for having me, Adam.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Wei is here to help us unpack some of the investment themes and trends that we think will shape 2026 and how they might impact investment portfolios. Well, Wi, let's get right to it. Looking back at 2025, investors had to worry about market volatility, changing fiscal and monetary policy expectations and different levels of economic growth in different regions. What lessons do you think investors can learn from last year? And how does that influence your market outlook for this? Yeah. And I guess more specifically, are there any investment themes that you think will shape 2026?</p>\n<p><strong>Wei Li</strong></p>\n<p>That's a wonderful question. 2025 has really been a year of wildly swinging headlines, and I think if the last two weeks are anything to go by, 2026 is shaping up to be exactly that as well. So as I look back on a very eventful 2025, there are indeed lessons that we can take into the new year. For example, if we look at the very noisy headlines, my observation would be that markets can get quite carried away, pricing those wildly swinging headlines. But the reality is that fundamentals cannot change as quickly as the headlines do. </p>\n<p>One key lesson that I am applying to 2026 is to identify and always bear in mind what we call the immutable laws that govern how markets operate, and also how economies operate, and it's imminently playing out in markets right now because there is lots of chatter around Fed independence because of the latest development. But if bond market bond markets were to react very adversely with spiking bond yield. In response to Fed independence challenge, then we could see the feedback loop through very high debt levels, acting potentially as a countervailing force. And this is one manifestation of this immutable law that we learned from last year. That I think is playing out right now.</p>\n<p>So it's really appreciating the boundary conditions and the immutable laws that will govern markets that will govern the economy as we navigate a very busy headline. In terms of key investment themes in our 2026 global outlook, we identified 3 investment themes. The first one is micro is macro, where in an environment where AI spending is driving economic growth, so bottom up, is reaching similar to top down, so really appreciating a unique macro environment that is being driven by company spending by micro activities is what differentiates this new environment. </p>\n<p>So first thing is micro is macro. The second theme is leveraging up and this is very much recognising that. We are at this juncture of AI build out where leverage is becoming inevitable. Up until now, companies are funding their capital spending expenditures through their free cash flow, but now companies are issuing more and more in order to go around the new expenditure commitment and this is really much really reflecting the fact there is a huge amount of CapEx that is needed to build out in order to support AI transformation. So leverage is a feature, not necessarily a bug, but a feature of this environment and it would impact portfolio construction as well. So that's the second thing. </p>\n<p>The third thing is what we call diversification mirage, and this is recognising that in this environment, shaped by supply constraints in this environment shaped by still kind of inflationary pressure, pent up inflationary pressure because of supply constraint, diversifies are less effective in providing portfolio balance. So as we think about whole portfolio and portfolio construction in this new regime, we need to recognise that there may be a mirage around diversification old playbook. We need to evolve with the New Times.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Great. Well from themes to trends, what do you think will impact markets the most in 2026? Would it be the continuing trend of the AI adoption that we started to cover or geopolitical tensions that seem to be increasing?</p>\n<p><strong>Wei Li</strong></p>\n<p>AI and geopolitics are definitely a big part of this, so Black Rock actually rolled out what we call mega forces framing almost four years ago. So four years ago we gave structural secular mega forces that will impact markets and impact the economy even more than the typical business cycle because we're in this unprecedented environment of transformation and these 5 mega forces are #1, AI, #2, geopolitical fragmentation, #3 energy transition, #4 ageing population and #5 the future of finance, specifically thinking about the private credit now more and more around kind of stable coin. And the experience the last few years really demonstrates that these mega forces lengths is more suitable in understanding what is happening to the economy and also what is happening to markets than the typical business playbook. </p>\n<p>I&rsquo;ll give you one example. Last year, US growth is on trend and maybe even slightly above and this is the sort of environment that small cap or value could outperform the broader market. Typically if growth is doing well, but the opposite has happened in the US equity market, small carbon value underperformed, which is very different from the pattern that we observe in the rest of the developed market. And the reason for that is because. The strength of the US economy has been mostly driven by non-residential investment, which is then in part driven mostly by AI expenditure, right. So if the economy is being driven by concentrated factors that are not the same as previous cycles, then the manifestation of economic performance in markets will be different as well. So really appreciating the unique kind of pattern. In the current environment and really interpreting them through a Megaforce lens rather than the typical business lens has been very helpful in US navigating markets the last four years, but also certainly something that we look to apply to 2026.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Great. And are there any assets or asset classes that you think particularly benefit from the mega forces or can benefit from the mega forces?</p>\n<p><strong>Wei Li</strong></p>\n<p>Obviously, AI is, I would say the Megaforce because it's driving the economy and market concentration up until now. So our key conviction still sits in AI plus ecosystem that applies to U.S. markets. That explains why we're still overweight the US equity market, even though valuation is more stretched than the rest of the world. But that also explains why we're broadening out a little bit. You look at some of the good performance last year, including in emerging markets in China, in in South Korea, broadening out of the AI theme has been in part responsible for that broadening out performance. So AI is a key area and tech plus is a key kind of expression of our mega force conviction. </p>\n<p>More broadly, I think as we think about it, the juxtaposition of all these mega forces that we talked about then sectors that sit at the intersection of these mega forces could also be very exciting. So specifically, I'm looking at, at this current juncture, cyclical sectors like industrials materials, including industrial metals, that start to perform, because if you think about 3 of the mega forces that I just talked about, maybe even four of the mega forces, you look at AI build out what that means for data centres, what that means for hardware, what that means for building construction that requires additional industrial metals, you look at energy transition. What that requires in terms of the, the, the renewable project in terms of grid upgrades, again that requires industrial metals. </p>\n<p>And then if you look at ageing population, the upgrades of existing infrastructure, again that requires industrial metals. And if you look at the geopolitical segmentation and the greater defence spending - what that means for infrastructural build out, what that means for defence infrastructure. Again, that requires industrial metals, right? So when we try to triangulate and really look at sectors and exposures that sit at the intersection of these mega forces is very interesting. Ultimately the host of Mega forces that we just described create an environment of a world shaped by supply. We're talking about greater demand than what the world can supply right now. So thinking through the expression of the supply constraint, physical supply can be a key investment theme as we head into the year.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Thanks Wei, and I guess finally, as we think about advisers who are perhaps preparing for the year ahead, are there any key takeaways that you would highlight? Are there any assets or asset classes that you might be positive or cautious about? And finally, are there any risks or opportunities that for an adviser that should really be top of mind? As they go into their client.</p>\n<p><strong>Wei Li</strong></p>\n<p>Absolutely. So that's a great note to end on because I think, well, we certainly start the year risk on and I always pay a lot of attention to my competitors on the street what they are talking about, and I would observe risk on, it's probably a quite a consensus view at this moment. I think that's not to be taken for granted, because we're already having to navigate a lot of headlines that could potentially trigger risk on. So having a very clear map, a very clear scenario framework to nimbly down without up risk taking through the course of what is likely going to be a very volatile year is important. </p>\n<p>So we have a clear framework right now in our assessment, we're still in this environment where the Fed is getting lucky. The weaker US labour market allows the Fed to cut without being challenged too much politically, but the latest development, the subpoena on the Fed could potentially raise question around Fed independence and what that means for long end of the curve and what that means for risk assets. So really appreciating, are we still in the scenario where they&rsquo;re getting lucky or are we heading into a scenario where maybe fair independence is challenged and then it pushes up with premier and it starts to impact not only government bond market but also in credit and equity markets. So really having a clear framework of signpost and what that means in terms of where we are in that scenario mapping is very important.</p>\n<p>And that takes us to I guess the risks that we see right now, is that long end of the curve pushes suddenly higher and that requires risk assets to meaningfully reprice in terms of discount rate and that would be a risk for 2026 that we need to position for. Now, having said that, heading into mid term, our imutable law also kind of makes us believe that the administration cares about how economy looks. The administration cares about how markets behave, so any kind of policies that pushes too far to challenge some of the few good foundation of markets, maybe kind of thought through a little bit more and walked back, right? So that's the overarching framing for now. We're risk on, we like equities, we like equities more than credit because we're also talking about an environment where insurance is likely going to go higher in order to support leverage in AI build out and also refinancing schedule is coming up for quite a lot of IG high yield names in 2026 that could kind of create interesting supply demand dynamics.</p>\n<p>So the risk on expression is primarily in equities and still in US equities and Japanese equities and selective European equities. Less favourable in in credit, but we like selective European credit and we continue to think that portfolios should think about kind of risk on equities, but maybe a bit of gold to think about tactically diversifying the portfolios a bit. </p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Well, thank you so much Wei. Thank you for joining us and thank you for those really helpful insights.</p>\n<p><strong>Wei Li</strong></p>\n<p>Thanks for having me.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>So there is a path through market volatility. There's a path through the noise, through the uncertainty and 2025 has shown us that our suite of smoothed managed funds are able to deliver robust yet resilient returns for our investors and our Members. Well, thank you for joining us. I hope you can join us again next time. Goodbye.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>&lt;End&gt;</p>\n<p>For UK financial adviser use only. Client capital at risk. </p>\n<p><span>Please remember that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns. </span></p>\n<p><span>Our smoothing process helps to reduce the impact of market volatility, but it won't prevent your investment from dropping in value.</span></p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=CAB5340DD4E0ABA29BDE6AB23F3881E5","editButton":null,"alt":"market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=E21A8E14C141D37251755C3445A18C4A","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=CAB5340DD4E0ABA29BDE6AB23F3881E5"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=0C56EB5272E1C6B6A6740B9F21F62A4A","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-2026-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=355424AB193F4EA060DFA935EBB7D62A"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Market Perspectives: A 2026 Investment Outlook","type":""},"description":"<p>2026 is shaping up to be a year where AI, geopolitics, and policy shifts could redefine portfolios. How can advisers prepare? LV= Chief Investment Officer, Adam Ruddle, is joined by Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, to unpack the key themes shaping the investment landscape in 2026.</p>\n<p>\n<p><span>Recorded on 13 January 2026 </span></p>\n</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}},{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"0ca35e8b-d2d9-492e-8c5f-de03046176d3","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1159244139/c4ca07fe22?share=copy&amp;fl=sv&amp;fe=ci ","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open video transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - 2026 investment outlook - navigating markets for your client conversations ","type":"h2"},"transcriptContent":"<p><strong>Amanda Wood</strong></p>\n<p>I think everyone who's joining us join. Welcome everyone. Thank you for taking time in your schedules to join our webinar today on this very cold and wet, depending on where you are, 27th of January. Today's webinar is going to be focusing on the 2026 investment outlook. We're going to be navigating markets for your client conversations. </p>\n<p>Next slide. Thank you. So looking at the agenda, you'll be joined by me. My name is Amanda Wood. I'm one of the Business Managers here at LV. I'm also going to be joined alongside our very own Alex Dale. He's going to be taking us through our smoothed fund performance in 2025. And we're also very lucky to have Wei Li from Black Rock today. She's going to be going for the 2026 global outlook and themes. You'll come back to me. I'll take us through our risk rated funds and we'll go through some Q&amp;A's if we have some time at the end and then close next slide. </p>\n<p>Perfect. Now just for some housekeeping for today, the duration we aim to be about 45 minutes, it is CPD eligible. Any questions that you may have, please use the Q&amp;A function at the top. We'll aim to get through as to as many questions that you have, but if we don't get into them all, your account manager will pick up with you at the end of it. It is being recorded and it will be uploaded onto our adviser site to watch at the end. And like I said, the CPD certificate will be sent to you.</p>\n<p>I just want to make a note of something because we do get quite a lot of questions about this afterwards. So the CPD certificate will be sent out 48 hours after the webinar. However, there is going to be a QR code at the end of today that you'll be able to scan now just do a quick survey and then you'll get your CPD certificate sent out afterwards, next slide. </p>\n<p>Right, so learning objectives for today, we're looking to understand the performance of our smooth managed funds in 2025 and how they navigated periods of market volatility. Evaluate the global macro outlook and emerging investment theme shaping markets in 2026 and explain how risk rated funds can be used to help clients invest with confidence and support portfolio planning for the new for the year ahead, next slide. </p>\n<p>Like I said, I'm going to be joined today by our very own Alex Dale. He's one of our Investment Actuaries at LV and we are very lucky to have Wei Li. She's the Managing Director and Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock.</p>\n<p>So without further ado, on to Alex, he's going to take us through the 2025 performance of our smooth managed funds.</p>\n<p><strong>Alex Dale</strong></p>\n<p>Good morning, everyone, and thank you, Amanda. Over the next 10 minutes, I'm going to recap the investment landscape of 2025, the highs, the lows and the volatility that challenged many portfolios. I'll explain specific drivers that allowed SMF to navigate these challenges and I'll conclude with SMF's long term track record. </p>\n<p>Let's begin with the bigger picture. Overall, a very strong year for markets with a trio of gold equities and government bonds all up on the year, a rare occurrence and certainly rare at the scale we saw in 2025. In equities, we saw all regions post double digit gains. Europe had a fantastic start to the year for a while and unloved region. It gained fueled by valuations and structural tailwinds. The region saw increased defence spending and in Germany fiscal changes. Removing the debt break unlocking growth. SF made a profit in Europe from an overweight position in early 2020. </p>\n<p>Japan also delivered with strong earnings and corporate stock market reforms that increased shareholder distributions, driving an above 20% return. However, the real leader of 2025 was emerging markets, tech driven tech driven gains were seen across China, South Korea and Taiwan. An index of emerging market technology gained over 50% on the year. Outside of tech, Brazil and South Africa performed well, particularly those stocks exposed to the rallying gold. </p>\n<p>The laggard in equity markets was the US, US exceptionalism slowed down with rotations out of the market seeking cheaper valuations. Despite the US having a weaker year, this was still the third consecutive year with double digit gains in the market. Although sterling investors will have got a smaller return of 8.3% due to the dollar weakness, which SMF managed by dynamically hedging the US dollar over 2025.</p>\n<p>Looking at bonds, we saw modest gains here. Clipping the coupons on offer with a small amount of yield tightening, despite the rate cuts by central banks across the globe, we didn't see a full on bond rally in 2025 as the challenging fiscal picture prevented us. Saving the best asset class for last gold, which was up 65% on the year, seeing significant gains amid the geopolitical volatility and the medium term tailwind of central banks increasing their holdings. </p>\n<p>Onto the next slide, we'll pull out the three winning themes. Firstly, earnings driving the market winners, this wasn't a hope driven rally. Companies that delivered on earnings saw the gains. In the S&amp;P, 500, 75% of the gains were driven by earnings per share growth rather than multiple expansion. Market became discerning with only two of the magnificent 7 beating the wider index. </p>\n<p>Secondly, AI and specifically AI implementation with the massive potential for productivity gains, we move from the height phase to the build phase with stocks seen as the picks and shovels of the AI infrastructure build out. Gaining alongside those stocks seem to be implementing AI efficiencies. </p>\n<p>And thirdly, are broadening out of returns beyond the narrow market of 2024 with mid cap and international stocks participating in the rally. However, 2025 wasn't all smooth sailing, and there was some material volatility and I picked out a few examples on the next slide. </p>\n<p>In January, we had DeepSeek the AI model from a Chinese tech firm. The model ran at fractions of compute power of its US competitors. This challenged their massive motor driven valuations, causing the magnificent 7 to fall 28%, experiencing A valuation reset. Then came spring and Liberation Day, where the US administration announced a series of trade tariffs on all countries. This took the US average trade tariff to above 20%, a level not seen since World War II. </p>\n<p>Markets fell, fearing the stagflation may impact before gradually recovering as the tariffs were paused and rolled back. Roll around to the autumn. We had the UK budget and the material policy uncertainty in the lead up to the announcement. While in the US the government was shut down for over a month, both causing volatility from the direct impact alongside the possibly more material uncertainty and blind spot caused by the lack of macroeconomic data. The market in response was down by 5% over the period. In 2026, we have seen volatility continue, particularly geopolitical uncertainty, which has filled news feeds. </p>\n<p>Onto the next side, we see how it played out in practise. The API 20 to 60% a low risk balanced fund had a strong year returning 8%. But that simplifies the picture. Along the way, an investor would have had to stomach a 6.3% fall for a risk averse member in drawdown. That kind of volatility could lead to panic selling. </p>\n<p>Onto the next slide, we have the smooth solution. Crucially, returning the same gain on the year, delivering full market participation. But without the volatility by holding back some of the peaks during the rally, we can protect against the downside. Our largest daily fall was a mere 0.1%, giving members peace of mind. And we didn't see any of the peak to trough trauma of the unsmooth sector. </p>\n<p>Why is this volatility reduction important? This smooth investment journey gives comfort to risk adverse members. They are that that they are protected from unexpected short term shocks. Thereby avoiding urges to panic sell during periods of alarming market news or for remembering drawdown, protecting the sequencing of return risk. </p>\n<p>On to the next slide, we see the impact of panic selling, missing the five best days in 2025. The black line giving up half the gains in just those five days. These best days often occur at periods of high volatility seen with the gold dots, which highlights those best days. You can see they mostly occur around a liberation day and the US government shutdown. And so peace of mind to ignore those scary headlines has real value. This is another bit of evidence behind the old saying time in the market, not timing the market. </p>\n<p>On to the next slide, we'll look at SMF in isolation. We split up our 2025 returns by driver. For SMF balanced pension, the underlying return was 13%. Which was above the smooth return as the mechanism holds the bit of the market rally back. It is also comfortably in excess of our SAA expectations, reflecting the strong year. All asset classes contributed positively to our return. And the larger gains were seen in the equity market with our globally Diversified SAA paying dividends. </p>\n<p>Then to the right hand side, we took a small position in gold over 2025 looking for a geopolitical diversifier. This boosted portfolio level returns by 1%. Then. Finally, active management enhanced our return to 2025 from our typical views such as our &nbsp;European equity overweight in the first half of the year. Overweight emerging market equities and our dynamic hedging of the US dollar. </p>\n<p>So far we have focused on 2025 on the next slide, we look at SMF performance over the medium and long term. Given this aligns with our Members investment horizon. SMF has a very strong return compared to their ABI peer group sector average. Annualised 10 year returns comfortably providing real returns from members of above 4% at a much reduced volatility. </p>\n<p>SMF growth is the only fund behind the sector long term, where some of the sharp equity rally hasn't yet fed into the smooth price. Onto the next slide, we add in our underlying returns to demonstrate how our funds have performed above expectations and there is still room for our smooth prices to grow as we move into 2026. </p>\n<p>Most notably, SMF growth on the right hand side, which was a slight point of weakness on the previous table. But here you can see. The one year underlying light green bar comfortably ahead of the smooth green bar, highlighting that latent potential going forwards for smooth price gains in 2026. </p>\n<p>Lastly, on my final slide, you can see our end December positioning and where we're positioned. Currently. We retain our overweight equity position where we see the broadening out theme I covered before having room to run underweight U.S. treasury duration concerned about the fiscal picture. Underweight credit where we see asymmetric risks with increasing supply and historically tight spreads. </p>\n<p>And finally, we retain our overweight goal position that did very well in 2025 as geopolitical risk is here to stay. To summarise, 2025 was a very noisy year, but underlying growth was strong and SMF allowed members to capture the growth while avoiding the ups and the downs. And with that, I'll hand back to Amanda.</p>\n<p><strong>Amanda Wood</strong></p>\n<p>Thank you very much, Alex. That was really, really useful information. The word I was looking for, was eligible, eligible for CPD. Like I said, we are very lucky to have Wei Li. She is going to go through the 2026 global outlook and themes. So without further ado, Wei, over to you please.</p>\n<p><strong>Wei Li</strong></p>\n<p>Wonderful. Thanks, Amanda. I will build my remarks on Alex's great characterization of of 2025 and then within some of the key themes that we here at Black Rock believe are going to be very key in shaping. Both the economy and market narrative this year. </p>\n<p>Before I start, I will just broadly make the observation that the past 12 months is again the perfect example of how a transformative secular lens is more appropriate in understanding and interpreting what's happening in the economy and markets than the typical playbook, because if you look at last year's growth was doing really well, holding up really fine, right. But when we look at the granular performance in U.S. equity market in a typical environment where actually growth is above trend. </p>\n<p>You would expect like so small cap and value to do well and that was not the case. So it really goes to show that understanding drivers of this particular economic kind of boost burst moment and putting that in the context of the transformation is more important than applying a typical OK, if growth is going to do well, then I'm going to rotate into the cyclical and small cap part of the market playbook so, this is not your typical cycle. This is an environment shaped by transformation and mega forces and AI is a large part of that is our is the foundation of our playbook for this year as well. </p>\n<p>If we can move to the next slide. So the big question. That we framed the outlook around is making sense of large numbers because large numbers are being talked about in the context of. AI build out and also in the context of the revenues needed to justify those numbers. So we actually did this exercise, which is an external literature review, to understand what is the range of credible kind of third party estimates. For CapEx commitment, but these large tech companies globally and globally, we get to a credible range. </p>\n<p>Again, this is not focused by Black Rock, this is forecast by credible third parties, that and, and this is intentional because we don't want to say this is what we think only we want to say. This is actually a credible range forecast by very sound third parties and that takes us to somewhere between 5 to 8 trillion dollars by the end of the decades spent and committed by this large tech companies and and hyperscalers in terms of the speed of CapEx, the quantum already is huge, comparable to previous industrial revolutions, but when we consider the fact that this is all happening within the space of this decade. </p>\n<p>The speed of CapEx spend is indeed unprecedented, right? So this is why we really want to frame the secular structural discussion on the question of how do we make sense of this number? What do we need to believe to justify these huge numbers? So on this particular slide is really the two conditions that need to be met. In order for these numbers to actually pay off right to be justified, and I'm going to start with the one on the right hand side, which is that we need to growth to break out from the historical 2% trend to justify the five to 8 trillions of CapEx spent with a reasonable IRR, internal rate of return of somewhere close to 12%. </p>\n<p>Now looking at this historical range. That 2% trend has never been broken out of on a sustained basis, right? So this is a tall order, but for the first time ever here in level, we also see that as possible because we're talking about innovating, how we innovate and that allow us to circumvent some of the constraints that previously banned how quickly growth could, accelerate off the back of technological transformation.</p>\n<p>So the right hand side chart shows that this is, it has not happened before growth break out, but we're saying that it is now possible and that is the first condition for the huge amount of CapEx to be justified. The left hand side charge is on the micro level. So the the macro top down level, we need growth to break out. But on the micro level, we need to see the spenders also capturing the revenues. So right now there is a gap between the spending on data centres and chips and energy infrastructure build out and revenue being created and then and then captured there is a gap and this is why there is a huge amount of uncertainty and I think this year we're going to see lots of questions being asked. </p>\n<p>You know, like when is the revenue coming? Is it captured by the spenders and if not what does that mean for these big spenders and big data centre and infrastructure layers? The chart on the left really is the second condition for this huge amount of context to be justified, which is that suspenders also capture. If reasonable in our industry, under 45% of the new revenues being created and we're talking about not just kind of taking market share of the smaller players we're talking about because we need new revenues, we need growth to break out. &nbsp;We need the pie to grow and new revenues to be created and we need the spenders and hyperscalers to capture 40 plus percent of their new revenues for the for the spending to be justified. </p>\n<p>So what we see here is that the actual current forecast in terms of revenues for this spenders not quite to take us there. But if we assume 40/45% of revenue capture, then we can justify the up to $8 trillion of the CapEx spend by the end of by the end of the decade. </p>\n<p>And here I'm not just talking about large tech taking market share from smaller tech players. We're talking about large tech companies. And also competing very strongly versus large pharma, right? And this is you know it's highly uncertain because large tech in this particular frame would own the models, but the large farmer for example, so players in other sectors outside of the typical tech sector, they would own the IP and data. So it's not clear that who would capture more, but we need to assume that large tech companies who are doing the spending can capture a reasonable, healthy proportion of the new revenue being created in order to justify number to justify that number. </p>\n<p>So when you look at the two conditions, they are not obvious. They're not trivial. It's not trivial to say growth can break out. It's not trivial to say that tech can win and and compete very competently versus Big pharma and big financial companies. But this is this is what we need to be to get there all of that. To say yes, we're talking about unprecedented CapEx spending pace, but we're also talking about potentially unprecedented actions being in place to justify this unprecedented public spend. </p>\n<p>This is why this particular environment is so unique, because we have not been here before, we have never been here before. We have to believe in crazy things to justify crazy things, and we actually do believe in these crazy things and which is why we are in the in the AI, in the AI trade, right. But the journey there is not going to be very smooth because clearly at this current juncture. Only the large companies that have the balance sheet to potentially with spend large write offs can now afford to play in the big infra race. </p>\n<p>But the silver lining is that as we see greater capacity being built then over time maybe. This additional capacity represents a bigger subsidy for other players that can build their applications on top of them. So it's a, it's going be an environment of winners and losers and really thinking about always applying this frame to understand who those winners are.</p>\n<p>Also, of course, who the losers will be is how we want to navigate this environment. So I want to kind of spend a little bit of time really belabouring this point because this underpins everything that we that we say and believe in terms of the overall risk posturing. But let me quickly dig one layer below and take you through the three themes of of 2026. If we can go to the next slide. </p>\n<p>The first thing is micro is macro. The second theme is. Leveraging up and the third theme is diversification mirage let me explain what these are. Micro is macro. We're not talking about a typical US growth cycle. If you look at the contribution of non residential investment to US growth last year, it was running at three times the historical. Average, which really goes to show that it's mostly driven by AI spend, is not driven by the typical consumer strength which is experiencing a bit of a K shaped dispersion. So whatever we believe on the, is so, so consequential that it's going to impact the growth forecast is going to impact inflation forecast rather than the typically the other way around which is you know we start the year forecasting growth inflation and then we figure out what we what those forecast means for earnings.</p>\n<p>And with micro now it's the other way round. Micro on the micro side then determines what we then forecast for growth and inflation. So micro has become macro is theme one and theme two is leveraging up and this is really recognising this leveraging up is a feature of this environment and that itself doesn't need to be a bug, right? Because the starting point matters a lot. </p>\n<p>Companies currently, especially the large tech companies, the US IG companies they're issuing from a position of net cash rather than net debt. So just looking at the greater issuance. Which is happening right now. There's an FD article about that even just today, but just looking at insurance alone and panic is missing the bigger picture, which is that the starting point is really quite benign. We have to leverage quite a bit more from the current level for us to worry about quality and balance sheet crisis, right, leveraging up is a feature of this environment and the fact that credit spreads are holding up is actually evidence that markets are seeing leveraging up as the tool to gain productivity, to boost productivity, to get to growth rather than a tool to mask and maybe really try to window dress fundamental deterioration. </p>\n<p>And this is a very notable distinction. So leveraging up a feature with this environment really have to contextualise it in. Yeah, is secular build out. And then the third thing is the diversification rate and this is really recognising that. We have been in this environment of supply constraints for over 4 years now in this environment, central banks will find it a bit harder to come to the rescue of the economy because of supply constraint, on the real economy side, be it energy, be it materials, be it labour, labour shortage. And all of them represents underlying kind of inflationary pent up pressure, right? </p>\n<p>So central banks will find it harder to come to the rescue and given the very high level of indebtedness, it's also going to be quite challenging for long duration government bond yields. To follow the path of policy rates. So the term premium, which is defined as the difference between the long duration government bond yields and cash path that in our view needs to go higher, which means that if we think of and historically we used to think of. Long duration treasuries as a portfolio diversifier well, it's a lot. Other for them to act as a diversifier in this environment, if both the cash path and the term premium is likely going to stay more elevated compared to previous cycles. </p>\n<p>So, that's why it's diversification in this environment. It's a bit of a mirage also because as we think about you know like investors finding international markets. Sort of. the US being more active. The narrative is oftentimes that this is great diversification, but these markets, you know, like you think about Korea, last year it doubled its stock price doubled, but it doubled because it's an upstream of the AI supply chain play. </p>\n<p>So a lot of decisions made in the name of their verifications ended up being, ultimately, still about, you know, views on AI views on AI, broadening out views on capacity. So, so the point being a lot of investment decisions made in the name of diversification ultimately are still big calls, active bets on the key questions that we need to have a view on so. Instead of accidentally. Having exposure to them because we want to have a optically diversified portfolio, we should actually crystallise what those big active cores are and have a deliberate view and exposure to them and construct portfolios in that way. </p>\n<p>So these are the three themes I'm going to quickly highlight. Couple of charts fly through the following slides that I think is important to illustrate the three themes, so the I I will draw attention to the chart on the left, which really goes to show that a lot of the spending is concentrated in IT stack and that goes to show that. You know, it's a world shaped by supply and micro is macro and the micro behaviour in AI stacks is actually syphoning capital from the rest of the economy. Because you look at S&amp;P. Excluding ICT CapEx actually gone down, right? </p>\n<p>So it really paints a very concentrated economy picture and This is why micro represented by the spike in Red Line is now macro because the rest of the economy is kind of the, the, the, the, the residual bit. Whatever the AI hasn't managed to taken up and spent. So that's moving to the next slide. Just a couple of key charts that I want to flag for, for, for, for leveraging up. I, I would say maybe the left one is more interesting. It shows how starting point matters a lot, right? Like so you know like right now we are at a point where. Operating cash flow is high and indebtedness. </p>\n<p>The amount of outstanding debt is low and this is in sharp contrast to 2000 where operating cash flow. You look at the red line is low, they are not very profitable companies, but level of indebtedness is very high. So when people say well things are. Getting more leveraged. This is worrisome. Let's see how this trend develops before we say this is the moment to get out. I'm going to conclude with the last chart the following. Right, showing the how pairwise correlation has increased across equities, bonds and commodities. </p>\n<p>And this really goes to show that you know, instead of trying to find the Holy Grail that is the perfect hedge for everything, which in this environment doesn't exist, goat gets closer than treasuries for sure. But it's hard to build a truly diversified portfolio when the principal drivers are just a handful. So instead we want to identify those principal questions and build a portfolio by taking. That's because we cannot rely on diverse, you know, we try to build a diversified portfolios, but we need to recognise that they're not going to be as effective as before. </p>\n<p>So I will conclude with this slide and just say that the overall risk posturing as we navigate 2026 is that we're still, yes risk, but we prefer equities. Our bonds we prefer within bonds, credit. Over treasuries and government bonds because of the still more indebted nature of the public sector and think of the equity core also in the context of about like we have the, the overweighting equities but having reasonable commodity exposures in portfolios in the context of supply constraints makes sense. I will post here and hand back to you Amanda.</p>\n<p><strong>Amanda Wood</strong></p>\n<p>Perfect. Thank you Wei, that was a lot of really good information that we can take away or really think about. If anybody has had any questions for either Alex or any questions for Wei, please don't hesitate to use the Q&amp;A. Like I said the beginning we'll get through as many as we can, but any that we don't get through your account manager will be in contact with you afterwards.</p>\n<p>I'm just going to ask for a little bit more of your time. We're going to go through, I'm going to go through the risk rated funds with LV. Next slide please. Perfect. Thank you. So with an ever changing financial landscape, clients are now having to navigate through more financial uncertainty than ever before. Rising costs and inflation, changing regulatory environments and increase in life expectancy means the way we plan for retirement previously may no longer work. </p>\n<p>So, lack of financial confidence, economic uncertainty affecting investor decision making, responding to market conditions which appear to be in constant fluctuation will all have an influence on your clients decision making. </p>\n<p>Now when it comes to investing, choice really matters. That's why we offer one of the broadest ranges of smooth managed funds in the market, giving you and your clients the flexibility to align investments closely with individual risk appetites and long term goals. Whether a client is looking for a very low risk option or is comfortable with a higher equity exposure, positive growth, our range of five risk rated multi asset funds are designed to meet those needs. Next slide please. </p>\n<p>We can manage volatility for a wide range of clients with fund risk rated from 2 to 6 by Defaqto and our smooth managed funds are designed to support clients through market ups and downs by helping to reduce volatility and smooth out short term fluctuations. While their primary aim is to provide a calmer investing experience, clients can still tailor their investment to suit their attitude to risk, whether that means aiming for more adventurous growth or taking a more cautious approach. </p>\n<p>A reminder to complement the drawdown points made that is not only us who believe this move managed funds range is appropriate for drawdown solutions. So Dynamic planner and Defaqto &nbsp;for the provided specific decumulation and income drawdown risk ratings for our funds which take into account sequencing risk. These independent risk ratings can be saved to your clients files to further cement evidence of stability. Well, next slide please. Thank you. </p>\n<p>So FE fund info are the leading global provider of fund information. They power trust net and provide data to independent analysts such as distribution technology, the FE Info Risk scores, defined risk as a measure of volatility relative to the FTSE 100 Index, which has a risk rating of 100. So in theory the scale. No upper limit. The scoring system has a minimum, uses a minimum of 18 months and a maximum of three years of weekly total returns to measure the volatility of an instrument relative to the benchmark. And as it shows here are to funds go between either 7 to a 15 currently in between the Pru Fund Growth Fund. </p>\n<p>Now you can access more smoothed funds on platform through the LV platform services and blend with an extensive fund universe and a wide range of model portfolios from discretionary investment managers. But they're also available as an off platform, pension bond and ISA investments. </p>\n<p>Now, as a mutual looking out for our Members is at the heart of our business. So not only through our propositions like smooth funds but through the member benefits available. When someone invests in smooth funds or our fixed term investment or our fixed term annuity through our SIPP, Sorry the fixed invest fixed term annuity stand alone or fixed term investment through our SIPP, I should say they become a member of LV and become entitled to a range of member benefits like our Care Navigator which they can access specialist support to help navigate the complex UK elderly care system, which is sometimes helpful for the sandwich generation. </p>\n<p>Member discounts, discounts on many general insurance products, including pet, car, home and travel Insurance, member support funds available to all members that your client that available to all Members. Your clients can apply for practical support or financial assistance from member line once they've been a member for a continuous 12 months. </p>\n<p>Since 2001, we've helped hundreds of members with financial support when they fallen on hard times and also a member's right to vote. Once your client has been a member for a continuous 12 months, they'll be invited to vote in our meetings, helping them shape the future of our business and LV doctor services. They'll have access to medical services through LV Doctor services from remote GP, 24 hour access and a second opinion service right through to support for mental health. It's a convenient and confidential option as well, and our mutual loan. This if the board declares a mutual bonus, we'll apply it to eligible with profits policies as long as they've been in place for 12 months. And since 2021 we've paid &pound;132 million for our members. </p>\n<p>Now just wrapping up the learning objectives, we hope we've been able to cover today is understanding that you've understood the performance of our smooth managed funds in 2025 and how they've navigated periods of market volatility. Evaluate the global macro outlook and emerging investment theme shaping markets in 2026 and I hope being able to explain how risk rated funds can be used to help clients invest with confidence and support portfolio planning for the year ahead. And now on to the Q&amp;A. </p>\n<p>So we do have some time for Q&amp;A and my colleague has been manning the Q&amp;A behind the scenes, so thank you very much. I'll just go through some. Like I said, we don't have time for all of them and your account manager will be in contact with you afterwards to address these with you directly, but the first question here, I think this one probably for Alex. Was there anything in 2025 markets that surprised you most?</p>\n<p><strong>Alex Dale</strong></p>\n<p>Yeah. Thank you for the question. I think the biggest surprise in 2025 was probably the correlations. So when we saw equity markets fall, we saw bond markets fall and vice versa, vice versa. And so that increase in correlations was probably the biggest surprise. Looking back to 2022, that increase in correlations started then. But you saw it really accelerate in 2025, so that diversification benefit wasn't quite as visible as previously and the learning from that probably points to a ways third Outlook theme about the diversification mirage. You probably can't set and forget a passive bond equity portfolio and expect to see the diversification benefits that you would have seen historically. And so I think you need to be more active and more deliberate about your risk taking and looking for that diversification benefit. You can't just expect to receive it.</p>\n<p><strong>Amanda Wood</strong></p>\n<p>Thank you very much, Alex. And we've got a very number of questions for for Wei. Are there any areas of the market you're more cautious on as we head into 2026?</p>\n<p><strong>Wei Li</strong></p>\n<p>Government bonds space in aggregate, I am more cautious about we already saw an episode of the JGB market selling off Japan government bond market selling off because of the fiscal trajectory heading into the snap election early February. And I think that's just a flavour of things to come, right, because governments are taking on more. That, and unlike the private sector, where the starting point is healthy, the starting point for governments are less healthy. </p>\n<p>You look at the level of indebtedness for U.S. government net the debt to GDP ratio, it doubled compared to the levels pre global financial crisis whereas. Indicated the non financials corporate sector in terms of the level of indebtedness, it's actually gone sideways and for consumers it's actually come down right. So where the excess leverage is in the public sector and I think investors are just going to kind of wake up to that and demand a higher premium for holding government bonds in portfolio, especially in the context of the effectiveness of their diversification benefits is also challenged. </p>\n<p>So that being the case, we actually expect term premium for US, 10 year to double from the current level of you know, 80/70 basis points which is already kind of quite high compared to the last few years. So that's a structural trend and I think this year we have plenty of of catalyst to reset that right the other thing I would flag is that you know the the path of AI adoption is not going to be linear. We may have panic moments this year for sure about the profitability of the AI big vendors, and maybe in the private sector because that's where leverage is both higher compared to the more healthy large tech companies, but also more opaque, right? Think about some of the off balance sheet. Financing. So we're going to see stress moments around AI, likely triggered by this catalysts and that's something that I worry about as I think about this.</p>\n<p><strong>Amanda Wood</strong></p>\n<p>Thank you. Way now selfishly I'm going to dig through the questions and ask for one for me because that's have the right to do that. So somebody's asked what types of clients tend to benefit most from risk rated or smooth ones. Good question. In all honesty, I think if you have clients that would immediately contact you should their investments fall suddenly. Or clients who are more concerned with possible losses than probable gains. Clients who feel uncomfortable with financial uncertainty or want minimal exposure to undue risk. I think those would be the clients that I think would be most suitable. For risk rated funds or smooth funds. </p>\n<p>If you have any questions relating to the smooth buns or anything we've discussed either way, or Alex or myself has raised today that you haven't had a chance to put in the Q&amp;A or we haven't answered, please contact your account manager and they'll be more than happy to go through that with. You in detail.</p>\n<p><strong>Amanda Wood</strong></p>\n<span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">So for the purposes of just a couple of minutes, I think we'll end it there. Like I said, at the very beginning, thank you very much for your time and taking the time out of your your day. This is the QR code I mentioned earlier at the beginning. If you scan that, it'll take you to a quick survey, complete the survey. You'll be able to get your CPD certificate a lot quicker than 48 hours from now. So thank you everyone for your time. We do appreciate it.</span>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=64E6E37052CF6BC84B4C74B12D73012A","editButton":null,"alt":"Placeholder","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=631FA0E7E3042BE826C81A2BCDF2D7A0","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=64E6E37052CF6BC84B4C74B12D73012A"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=9A15EFA527E0AFEF382E30F8B325D6AB","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=E6198615EDA770914372FAC23237CE83"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"2026 investment outlook - navigating markets for your client conversations","type":""},"description":"<p>Explore the 2026 market outlook and hear practical insights to support your client conversations for the year ahead.</p>\n<p>LV= investment experts are joined by Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, to discuss macro trends, emerging investment themes, and both tactical and strategic considerations for 2026. The session also includes an update on Smoothed Managed Fund performance in 2025, how our funds navigated market volatility, and the benefits of our five risk-rated funds for clients seeking confidence through uncertain markets.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 27 January 2026</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}}]},{"Id":null,"tabHeading":"December 2025","tabContent":[{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"0dc4fea2-6a05-4fd5-a6ca-cbe70dc20e68","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1142406930/3cba43a070?share=copy&amp;fl=sv&amp;fe=ci","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open video transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - 20 years of smoother journeys","type":"h2"},"transcriptContent":"<p><strong>Charles Burton</strong></p>\n<p>Hello everyone and welcome to our webinar 20 years of smoother journeys. My name is Charles Burton. I'm an investment proposition manager here at LV. Thank you for joining us here today. Our webinar today is focused on performance, how we work with our. Primary asset manager, partner Black Rock and we're celebrating 20 years of smooth managed funds. You may notice it's not a live webinar using our usual Vimeo link, we have encountered some technical issues. I believe we're probably using the same technology provider as the Office of Budget Responsibility, but looks of it, but we this is a teams broadcast, it's all intents and purposes. It's a usual webinar. Just means that any questions can be answered offline afterwards. </p>\n<p>So our agenda on the next slide. 1st we have Stuart Irwin, who's going to give a performance update, an update of the positioning of the smooth managed funds that we'll pass over to Hugo Thompson from Black Rock is going to talk about investment strategy and I'll close off by talking about 20 years of different St managed funds here at LV. Session will run for broadly about 45 minutes to an hour. It's CPD qualifying. You can still submit questions but give you a QR code at the end or an e-mail address, and we will follow up any questions that come through. Recording will be available on the advisor site to watch on demand later and you will receive a CPD certificate. </p>\n<p>Our learning objectives today, you want to understand the latest performance of the LV smooth managed funds, evaluate how smoothing, diversification and asset allocation works together to help manage volatility while maintaining growth and explain how LV and Black Rock are responding to the latest market dynamics. And longer term themes. Our speakers today are Hugo Thompson, who is a Vice President of multi asset strategy at Black Rock. And Stuart Irwin, senior investment manager here at LV. So First off, I'll be passing straight over to Stuart. He's going to give an update. I'll soon managed funds performance and positioning. Stuart.</p>\n<p><strong>Stuart Irwin</strong></p>\n<p>Thanks very much, Charles and morning all. As Charles says, my name is Stuart and I'm part of. Investment team here at SLV. And so in my section, I'll be taking a look at some of the major themes that really dominated markets over 2025 and the impact that they've had on SMF performance. I'll then be joined by Hugo Thompson from Black Rock, who's going to talk a little bit more about the Black Rock perspective on market outlook and how we're positioning the SMF portfolios. </p>\n<p>Firstly though. To help put performance into some context, I'll start by looking back at the market backdrop over the years so far. As we currently stand, 2025 is on course to mark a third year in a row of double-digit equity returns, which is actually a relatively rare occurrence. When you look back through the history books. Hopefully I haven't given the old, dreaded commentators curse there, but despite this actually it's been a fairly challenging backdrop of subdued economic growth. </p>\n<p>Heightened geopolitical risks and we've seen this play out in terms of periods of short-term bouts of volatility, particularly around the Trump tariff announcement in April, we saw the VIX or the Fear index as it sometimes called spike in April, accompanied by a pretty significant drawdown in equities over that. Time. And in contrast to previous years, the US market has actually been one of the key underperformers this year. Over that period and on the other hand, European and Asian markets have actually led the way. Emerging markets, in particular posting 26% return at the time of writing after a pretty long period of underperformance relative to other markets policy stimulus. </p>\n<p>A weaker U.S. dollar and the boost in AI related chip manufacturing all acting as really helpful tailwinds this year for emerging market. Japan, on the other hand, is also having a very strong second part of the year on the back of improved sentiment and political stability on the back of recent elections there as well as those longer term policy reforms designed at improving corporate efficiency and refloating their economy. Bonds, too, have had one of their better years in quite some time, up around 7%, benefiting from those falling interest rate expectations. If we look more closely at some of the kind of key storylines from the air, probably the biggest was really whether the US exceptionalism trade was at an end or is coming to an end. </p>\n<p>And it certainly looked that way earlier in the year. The challenge to US AI leadership from China's deep-sea model really set the stage early on and this was relatively quickly followed by the liberation. Announcement and the rollout of those unprecedented reciprocal tariffs from the Trump government. The price of stocks fell significantly over this period, particularly in the US, which were down around 20% in early April from their highs earlier that year, and we saw a general rotation out of U.S. stocks over this time into cheaper markets like Europe. And this really reflected a sense that Europe would need to step up its own infrastructure and its own defence spending if it couldn't really rely on US as much anymore in terms of foreign policy matters. </p>\n<p>And you know, Trump's position on the on the the Russia Ukraine war was a good example of pushing Europe to step up to the plate, to a certain extent and support. Itself this. Trend really illustrated on this slide by the mega cap with Trump's actions inadvertently perhaps acting to make Europe great again. </p>\n<p>Potentially we will see what next year brings. And since that nadir in early April, the US market has actually experienced a really strong recovery to be fair and that's been underpinned in the first instance by an easing of those tariff tensions leading to the so-called Taco trade that's been pretty prevalent in the later part of this year. </p>\n<p>This chart on this slide highlights the change the effective tariff over the year, which peaked north of around 25% in April before settling back down to around 15% following various truces and deals along the way 15% by the way is still very high relative to history. For context, it was around 2% coming into the year. So there's still the potential for disruption and kind of inflation impacts from the higher relative rate and tariffs going forward into next year. Again, we'll see how that plays out. </p>\n<p>That rally has also been supported by both fiscal stimulus through the one big Beautiful Bill Act, as well as a general easing in monetary conditions over the year. Inflation does remain relatively stubborn, as the chart on the left hand side shows, but it is projected to fall over the next 12 to 18 months, providing that cover for interest rate cuts and the market is pricing in around 2:00 to 3:00. Cuts in the US and four cuts in the UK by around the end of 2026. And obviously we can't ignore the AI boom which has really accelerated into the second part of the year. A lot of hope and money is backing AI to be that silver bullet to get out of the sluggish growth backdrop that we're currently in and not just a tool to write snappy emails as, as Arnie is suggesting in this meme here. </p>\n<p>Clearly, the amount of CapEx going into AI is historically huge. We are already in line with the.com outlay and CapEx is expected to increase further throughout the decade. This is supporting strong corporate earnings, particularly in the tech sector, but clearly a lot of concern in market commentary at the moment on the sustainability of those earnings and valuations. And I'm sure Hugo will touch on that a little bit more in his section. Turning closer to home, it's actually been a pretty good year for UK equity markets, despite I guess a more subdued economic backdrop. Growth is weak, inflation is above target and those debt levels do remain relatively elevated. </p>\n<p>But perhaps some ray of light that we are on a better trajectory on that debt position relative to some of our other peer economies, the uncertainty ahead of the winter budget has also been pretty paralysing for households and business confidence in the run up and that's indicated by the increase in savings ratio that you can see on the top of this chart. Having said all that, the 3100 doesn't necessarily represent the UK economy as such, the majority of revenues in that market are and elsewhere. </p>\n<p>The UK market also has those nice defensive qualities in terms of its make up related to some. Of the other. Growth or kind of the techier markets out there, they are also relatively cheap compared to other markets at the moment and these are some of the reasons why we still retain. A relatively modest home bias within the SMF portfolio.</p>\n<p>Thanks.</p>\n<p><strong>Stuart Irwin</strong></p>\n<p>The best performing major asset class this year has actually been gold, having its best year in sort of nearly 40 years, returning 56% as at the end of October, we added a tactical position to gold at the start of the year as a defensive asset in the face of what we saw as the potential for increased geopolitical risks, which has turned out to be a relatively good. To be fair, we have taken some profit here more recently, but we do retain a small holding as we think it's still. It's still despite being relatively expensive, a good hedge and place to that wider theme. Diversification away from the US dollar. In central bank risks and the reduced confidence in the dollar more generally that we've seen as a theme throughout the year. Moving on to performance. </p>\n<p>Clearly we have had a very supportive backdrop which is fed into a very strong return backdrop across the SMF range. Over the past three years, we've included on this slide the underlying return, which is the slightly sort of lighter green bar on this chart to give a sense of where the the smooth return is heading. As there is still a bit of a lag as those returns get digested by the smoothing mechanism. </p>\n<p>Underlying returns across SMF's are all just about in double digits over the one year, and pleasingly those returns compare really favourably relative to their respective ABI sector averages, and I think a great validation of our partnership with BlackRock over that time. If you move to attribution and we have used the SMF balance fund here to highlight performance attribution over the last year, we can see the sources of those strong performance. It's really down to our diversified global footprint across the portfolio. </p>\n<p>The equity portfolio has done. Most of the heavy lifting, but within equities we have a good spread of contributors across the various different regions. Bond asset classes have also added returns, albeit the contribution has been a little bit more modest there. But really the cherry on top is the contribution from. Class allocation and security selection decisions. So this includes the alpha from our tilts to equities and gold through the year and within equities. </p>\n<p>Our tilt towards emerging markets has been a key positive, although slightly offset by the overweight to US equities earlier in the year, which costs us a little bit then has had a strong recovery more recently. And as a reminder of what we mean by tactical asset allocation decisions, these are short term tilts to the portfolio made against our central benchmark otherwise known as the strategic asset allocation. </p>\n<p>And I'll finish up just looking at the three-year investment journey of SMF balanced as I think it really highlights the benefit of smoothing as a proposition. The green Line is the smooth return for SMF over the last three years. The dotted green line is our underlying returns and the purple dotted line is the ABI peer group average. And we can see it's been a strong few years for markets more generally, but actually it's being punctuated by those periods of turbulence. </p>\n<p>The smooth funds have navigated this really well, protecting our members at the right time also. So providing that you know really important link to the upside. And finally, I I just wanted to flag and highlight the outperformance of the underlying return, which all else being equal, will pull up that smooth return further over the coming few months as it feeds through the smoothing mechanism. </p>\n<p>So at this point, I'm delighted to be joined by Black Rock's very own Hugo Thompson. Hugo is one of the portfolio managers on SF and is going to be providing the Black Rock perspective. Hugo, thanks again. So much for joining. I guess there really is only one place to start and that's the UK budget. There's obviously been a lot of talk since the announcement but really invested to get the Black Rock take and whether it's changed your views on UK assets in any way.</p>\n<p><strong>Hugo Thompson</strong></p>\n<p>Thanks, Stuart and thanks so much for having me. It's my absolute pleasure to be here this morning. So yeah, the budget is a really interesting one. I guess the first thing I'd say before getting into the nitty gritty details of our views is you know as you know very well, one of the things that we are thinking about when we are constructing the. LV portfolios is diversification. And diversification is something you hear a lot of asset managers talk about, but the reason that we want to build these world diversified portfolios is so they are not heavily influenced by the sorts of political events that a budget represents. </p>\n<p>That's why we kind of globally diversify the portfolios so that. An idiosyncratic event which you know this really is. Obviously, we sit in the UK. We think of it as being really important, but in the context of the global, you know, economic environment, it should be relatively minor. And the diversification of the portfolio does accomplish that. That having been said, we do of course or we can make tactical decisions, in particular when it comes to things like the UK budget and we absolutely were thinking about that this time round budgets in general are more like the their fiscal events. </p>\n<p>So they're more likely to impact our view. On bonds than they are our view on ex. These and that very much held true in the most recent budget. We didn't see anything in that budget that was materially impacting our growth forecast for the UK. However, many times the Labour government says the words growth. Unfortunately this wasn't a kind of growth stimulus of budget. In our view, it hasn't. Materially changed regulation. It hasn't adjusted what our view on the kind of profit share of GDP is going to be. </p>\n<p>So it hasn't and we weren't expecting it to impact our view on UK kept in ours, but it has and it should and it does impact our view on fixed income and in particular the gilt market. And if we move to the next slide, you can sort of see our view on this gilts up. You know prior to the budget, and this continues to be the case today. Gilt to one of the. Asset classes that we have a positive view on, a sort of TA overweight view.</p>\n<p><span></span>And the reason for that can be illustrated quite nicely by the chart on screen, which shows the sort of developed market, government bond universe and compares the yield that those bonds are delivering. That's the X axis and yield is a very, very crude proxy for the sort of expected return. So the higher the yield, the further to the right on this. Part the more appealing the asset that the bond is. And it compares that to the structural budget balance. So this is effectively a measure of fiscal discipline and you want a reasonably small budget deficit, so. Dots further to the top of that Y axis are considered more appealing. </p>\n<p>So generally speaking, you'd expect a negative correlation between these two metrics and you can see that when you look at Japan, Germany, France, US in general, there's this sort of upward sloping line that demonstrates. The more fiscal discipline a country is showing, the smaller its budget deficit the lower the yield. Or to flip that on its head, the less fiscally disciplined a country is, the higher the yield the higher the yield the market demands for lending to that country. </p>\n<p>What's interesting about the UK is it's somewhat of an outlier to that pattern, given that it has a budget deficit that is broadly in line with many of its peers, not particularly aggress. But it has the highest yields in the peer group, and it's these sorts of outliers, these sort of, you know, breaks from the expected pattern that we look for and we look to capitalise on with our TA decisions and what we what we, what we learned during the budget. You know and we sort of learned this in the in the weeks coming up to the bus. Yeah. Was Rachel Reeves and the government are at large continues to demonstrate the sorts of fiscal discipline that we like to see for a country that we're going to be lending money to. </p>\n<p>So, you know, she, despite the calls from some quarters of the party, she didn't deliver large unfunded. Tax spending. Increases. She didn't cut taxes massively. She is continuing to remain within her fiscal rules. So to answer your question very directly, Stuart, the the kind of main impact or the main view that we have coming out of the budget is that it is going to be good for the, for the gilt market and that's why we're tilting. In that direction.</p>\n<p><strong>Stuart Irwin</strong></p>\n<p>Got it. So maybe not so good for growth, but some upside potentially on UK government bonds. I guess the other key talking point for the year or the talking point right now is whether we're seeing a bubble in the US, particularly around AI related names, concentration of the SNP kind of closed loop investments and kind of. Your investments by various AI related companies would be really great to get your thoughts on kind of how you see that at the moment and how you're thinking about positioning in in the US equity market more generally.</p>\n<p><strong>Hugo Thompson</strong></p>\n<p>Yeah, this is a great question and it's one that we get a lot from advisers. Again, if we if we take a step back before getting into the nitty gritty and think about what you know what is a bubble, what, what do people mean when they say an asset class bubble? Generally speaking, when people talk about bubbles, what they are referring to is when an asset class often equities but not always equities, when the price of an asset. Class becomes dislocated from the fundamental economic value that that asset class can deliver, and in the case of the stock market, that's kind of best proxies as the profits, the profits generated by that company, because when you're buying stocks, what you're really doing is buying a slice. Of the future profits and that. </p>\n<p>So what we would be looking for with a budget, sorry, with a bubble would be a a big dislocation between the movement of the price and the movement of the fundamentals. And usually that is driven, you know, historically we've seen bubbles driven by big technological innovations, which definitely that is a that is a tick for what we're currently seeing with AI. That cause a large number of players to rush into a given market, compete for scarce resources, drive up the price of those resources, and cause this. This this dislocation between the price and the ultimate economic benefit that can be delivered and this happened. </p>\n<p>In the dot this is very characteristic of bubbles, right happened in the.com boom. It happened in in railways in the US before that. Prior to that it was canals in the UK. As ever, the canal UK bubble gets overlooked because it's not as sexy as what's been happening in the more recent US bubbles. But you know, it was a thing at the time, like people would compete to buy up tracts of land where they could, where they could dig canals. And because they were very low barriers to entry. </p>\n<p>Anybody or lots of contractors were trying to do this. Lots of people entered the market and it drove up prices well beyond any possible economic return. Why do I give that context? Well, let's move on to the next slide which talks a little bit more about AI in particular. And we've, we've contrasted on this slide, what's happened, what is happening with artificial intelligence with what happened with the most recent bubble that we've seen, whichisthe.com bubbleandthe.com bubble is quite interesting because it's. It's a bubble in in the information technology sector in the US and people are also concerned about the IT sector in the US today. </p>\n<p>So we can do a pretty apples for apples comparison. All of the lines that you're seeing on screen are for that IT sector in the US if we start by focusing on the chart on the left hand side. What this is showing is isthe.com bubble, so the five years in the run up to the peak and then the two years after. The Orange Line or the Red Line is showing the price and the yellow line is showing that fundamental and the fundamentals here are earnings and you can see very clearly the price becoming dislocated from those from those earnings. Right. </p>\n<p>And of course eventually the dislocation becomes too great earnings in markets we sometimes describe it as like gravity. Eventually that price gets kind of pulled back down and things come back down to our the bump. People are asking the question is AI the same? It's the same thing going to happen. It is a technological innovation which is interesting. It just so happens to be in exactly the same market as we last saw a bubble, which I always think should raise an eyebrow, right? Like that to me, smells a little bit like a like a human bias, A recency biassed lightning is going to strike twice in the same place, despite the fact that we all know that's quite unlikely. </p>\n<p>But if you look at the chart on the right hand side. It's the. It's the same thing that's five years of data. Red Line is price. Yellow line is fundamentals and the price has moved, right. The price has moved a lot. We've seen about a 300% increase in the price of this sector over the past five year. Is. Obviously the context is that the the.com boom, it was about 1000% increase in the price over a five year period, but you know, put that to one side, it's an increase in price absolutely. But that increase in price has been broadly mirrored by an increase in earnings and because we are not seeing that dislocation. </p>\n<p>That is the real reason that we're not concerned about this being a bubble. Why aren't we seeing that dislocation? What are the kind of, you know, this is the data, but what's the qualitative overlay? And I think one of the really interesting distinctions between this and other bubbles is the number of players in the market, right, like. We have seen high barriers to entry and that makes it very difficult for lots of players to rush in and to push these prices up well beyond their realistic market value. </p>\n<p>A lot is made of the concentration in the AI market. Often it's seen as a bad thing, but in my view, if you have a small number of companies. You're much less likely to see kind of competition smooth out the ability to deliver excess prop. So again, so sorry for the very long answer there to you, but the short answer is, given the continued profitability, the continued earnings growth of these technology companies, we are not. We, you know, we do not believe this to be a bubble.</p>\n<p><strong>Stuart Irwin</strong></p>\n<p>Got it. No, that makes a lot of sense. Thank you. So I guess we talked a little bit about the UK and the US perhaps you can give us a sense of your broader outlook across the universe and kind of how you're positioning SMF based on those views?</p>\n<p><strong>Hugo Thompson</strong></p>\n<p>Yeah, absolutely. So, so some of this we have covered already. So I will, I'll try and keep it reasonably brief. If we flick over to the next slide, you can see the key themes that we are on the lookout for or positioning for kind of over a 6-12 month time. And you can see the three themes on the far left of the slide and then the positions we're taking against each are in the right hand side.</p>\n<p>I'll take them one by one, starting with the Sun economic horizon. So what? What we mean by this is we think. You know, growth in particular, economic growth is likely to be strong over the coming the coming months. This is a view we've actually held all year and it's been somewhat, you know, to your, to your points earlier, Stuart, around the volatility we saw around tariffs, the volatility we saw around DeepSeek. You know this has been somewhat of a controversial view of ours this year, lots in the market. We're deeply, concerned that we're going to see a. A big risk off. We held on up on that, on this sort of positive view on the economy. </p>\n<p>We, continue looking at the data rather than reading the headlines too much and we've been proven kind of right time and time again in terms of markets have continued to rally and our view is that there is nothing on the horizon that is likely to materially disrupt that. So we continue to be comfortable. Leaning into risk in the portfolio so, so taking equity risk. The one thing I will highlight is we are being very careful with the currency exposure that we get as a result of that, that risk on position. </p>\n<p>So broadly speaking, global equity markets, if you know all else equal, if you leaned into global equities, you would be adding dollar exposure to your portfolio. Whilst we like the underlying assets, we are actually much less. Keen on the dollar. So we've been, we've been hedging that dollar risk out of the portfolios. The second theme is all about this focus on earnings, which I think I probably covered quite extensively in the answer to your previous question. </p>\n<p>But we think that at the moment in when it comes to positioning within equity markets, the key is to focus on the areas of the market where earnings are strongest. Absolutely. That means the US, interestingly enough, it also means emerging markets and it means we are much less interested in European equity and indeed UK equity. And then the final theme is, is about debt and the amount of government borrowing that we are seeing. </p>\n<p>And you know the other two themes on this slide are really opportunities. I would say that we are looking to capture this third theme is more a risk that we're looking to manage. We are very cognizant, you know, whether it's the US or France or Japan that many of the major developed markets at the moment are spending. And are spending at a much faster pace than their economies are growing, and this may. This is selective as to which as to who we are lending to, right, which government bonds we're holding, but really that is who we are lending to and how long we're lending to them for so as aforementioned, we quite like the UK, so we're happy holding gilts, we're a bit more cautious on other countries and across the piece we are looking to hold shorter. Related bonds less duration. You know more sensitive to kind of short-term movements in rates less sensitive to long term concerns around debt sustainability. </p>\n<p>And then finally kind of on the on the same on the same theme, we're looking to introduce alternative sources of downside protection. So things like gold, you know, sure you mentioned a very strong performance with gold so far this year. We've benefited from that and we, you know, we continue to hold that position and we're also holding emerging market debt. Which we could do a whole hour on, frankly. But the headlines on AMD are these emerging market countries are demonstrating surprising levels of fiscal discipline, especially in comparison to their developed market counterparts. But you get very attractive yields for holding them.</p>\n<p><strong>Stuart Irwin</strong></p>\n<p>Got it. Thank you, Hugo, a helpful overview of positioning there. I guess a final question. We've talked a little bit around tactical positioning and kind of tactical themes. It would be great to get your perspective on some of the longer-term trends and opportunities that that you and Black Rock are particularly excited about at the moment.</p>\n<p><strong>Hugo Thompson</strong></p>\n<p>Yeah, this is a really interesting question. One of my favourite ones to answer in fact. So when it comes to long term themes, the kind of the golden sauce here at Black Rock is the Black Rock Investment Institute, which people on the call may have heard of. It's our kind of macroeconomic unit here at Black Rock. And for some time now, the FDI has been talking about what we describe as mega trends. Mega Trends are the structural forces that we think are going to fundamentally change the global economy over the next, you know over a multi decade time horizon. </p>\n<p>And these themes include things like artificial intelligence but also decarbonization future of finance which is all about sort of digital assets and how they're going to change the world. These sort of considerations figure much more closely in the conversations we have with you guys at LV around strategic asset allocation than they do tactical asset allocation, which is sort of what I was referencing earlier. But one of the interesting things that we we've been thinking about more recently is that lots of these structural mega forces are actually best captured in private market exposure rather than through public market exposure. </p>\n<p>And if we go on to the next slide, you can see there are lots of benefits of incorporating private market exposure into a strategic asset allocation point #4 on the top left. Really references the ability to capture these mega trends, but there are also benefits of higher return potential inflation linkages, additional diversification. And also the fact that an increasing amount, you know private markets are growing. So an increasing proportion of the total assets in the world are sitting in private rather than public hands and de facto that means a larger and larger proportion of the most appealing asset classes are sitting in private rather than. Public markets and you know that in our view further bolsters the case for adding some private market exposure into strategic asset allocations.</p>\n<p><strong>Stuart Irwin</strong></p>\n<p>Yeah, thanks for that here. Yeah, I know private markets is something we're researching a lot at the moment with. With a view of hopefully getting some kind of exposure within two SMF. So watch this space. It's clearly an area where our government are very keen on their opening up the channels for retail investors to get more invested. And I think your point around actually the majority of the investable universe. Is now actually in private markets. Is a really strong one in terms of gaining exposure to more diversification, the ability to create more resilience as well as kind of enhanced return expectations as well. So very much echo those thoughts. Brilliant. Thanks again Hugo, for joining us. Really, really appreciate your thoughts today. I think I'm now handing back to Charlie who's going to talk about an exciting anniversary that we have on SMF. Charlie, back to you.</p>\n<p><strong>Charles Burton</strong></p>\n<p>Thank you very much, Stuart and Hugo. So, we are about to approach 20 years of our smoothing at LV. Look at how the smooth funds have performed during some of the most turbulent periods in recent market history. And what you see in the charts that follow is a consistent theme of the. The average unsmooth fun swinging sharply in response to a crisis as our smooth funds dampen that volatility, giving investors A steadier journey.</p>\n<p>So in the first illustration, we have the European debt crisis. Back in 2011, markets were extremely unsettled. Sharp drops in the value of your average unsmooth fund. Notice how the smooth fun though, whilst following the general direction is much less volatile. This is a smoothing mechanism at work, absorbing the short-term shocks and protecting investors from the worst of the swings. </p>\n<p>Our next example is very stark. When the COVID-19 pandemic, so we have one of the fastest market crashes in history. Unsurprisingly, Unsmooth funds fell dramatically in line with global markets. But look at the smooth fund. Investors did not experience the same level of panic or whip. Cash and many were able to stay invested, not crystallising losses. </p>\n<p>Then we can look at the collapse of Credit Suisse in 2023 that sent shockwaves to the financial markets. Again, unsmooth funds reacted with ongoing volatility for a few months, but by contrast, our smooth funds demonstrated resilience. Cushioning investors against the immediate fallout and allowing time for markets to stabilise. But on this slide, we do have a QR code. If you like these charts because I think they're fantastic visual representation of the benefits of smoothing. If you scan that QR code, it will take you to a PDF guide with lots of these examples and more details. </p>\n<p>Also on this slide, we look at the introduction of tariffs by the US earlier this year, which has a significant impact on markets. But our smooth fund performance was relatively unaffected. It. So the smooth, fun line shows a calmer trajectory, helping investors ride out that noise without any dramatic swings in value. So and if we zoom out and look at the bigger picture over the last 20 years, 20 years ago, we launched our all-in-one bond, our first smoothed product that had three funds all in one cautious, balanced and growth. </p>\n<p>If you look at those 20 years in totality, the funds have actually in some cases significantly. Outperformed the average fund in their sector with far less volatility. So the investors in these funds have received a better outcome performance wise. They've had a far smoother, less volatile journey on the way. So across each of these examples from debt crises to pandemics, banking shocks and trade disputes, the story is the same. Our smooth managed funds, or their predecessors. </p>\n<p>The flexible Guarantee funds, or the all-in-one funds which all follow the same smoothing strategy, by the way. They've all helped investors stay the course and I think that's a really important thing to note by reducing volatility. Is easier to remain uninvested during uncertainty, and that is often the key to achieving long term financial goals. So over the last two decades, despite extreme market ups and downs, the largest daily drop of the unit price in any of our smooth funds going back 20 years has been nought .3%. </p>\n<p>And that was in the 2009 financial crisis. We've evolved our proposition over the years, so just in the last few years we introduced 2 new funds to expand the range of risk profiles, which our funds are suitable for. We've introduced a new asset management partner, Black Rock. We've launched a new platform. We continually like to enhance our service. To all reflecting our commitment to provide stability and confidence. We're quite pleased to announce that we have reduced the SIP wrapper charge for people investing 100% in a smoothed managed fund as this is now reduced to only 0.15%. So a sip wrapper charge for only 15 basis points for investing. </p>\n<p>Wholly in a smoothed managed fund and we feel that is a highly competitive sip rapid charge in the market. What are the other benefits to investing in smooth managed funds? We become a member of LV and there are a number of benefits that come with our mutuality. For example, you get discounts on LV general insurance products. You get access to our member support fund for practical financial assistance, and I have seen real life examples of Members in need of financial assistance. </p>\n<p>We've got voting rights to help shape the future of our business. LV Doctor Services is a great one, offering convenient medical support that doesn't require you to be phoning your local GP at 8:00 AM in the morning Care navigator. A nurse led service providing advice and guidance on later life care. And they're not forgetting the mutual bonus. We have distributed &pound;132 million just since 2021 in the form of mutual bonus each year. So these benefits reflect on mutual ethos. Looking out for members and adding value beyond just investment performance.</p>\n<p>You can submit any questions that have arisen to the panel using your QR code below, or you can just send an e-mail to savingsandretirement@lv.com. So before we close, just going to recap on what we've learned today. We've understood the latest performance and positioning of the LV smooth managed funds. We've looked at how smoothing diversification and asset allocation decisions work together to help manage. Volatility while maintaining growth, explain how LV and Black Rock are responding to latest market dynamics. And longer-term themes.</p>\n<p>On the last slide here, we have another QR code and this allows you to complete a very short survey. It's only two minutes and you can also download your CPD certificate immediately after completing that. I do believe you might have your CPD certificate by e-mail anyway. Thank you very much for joining us today. We do hope you found the session valuable and on behalf of everyone at LV and Black Rock, thank you for your time and goodbye.</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=64E6E37052CF6BC84B4C74B12D73012A","editButton":null,"alt":"Placeholder","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=631FA0E7E3042BE826C81A2BCDF2D7A0","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=64E6E37052CF6BC84B4C74B12D73012A"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=9A15EFA527E0AFEF382E30F8B325D6AB","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/placeholder/video-frame-placeholder-720x405-2.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=E6198615EDA770914372FAC23237CE83"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"20 years of smoother journeys: shaping our investments strategy","type":""},"description":"<p>Listen now to explore how our strategic asset allocation and smoothing expertise help deliver stability through changing market conditions while remaining focused on long-term growth. Markets often respond to short-term events such as the Autumn Budget, but long-term positioning is key to navigating volatility. Hear expert views on recent market reactions, how our partnership with BlackRock informs long-term strategy, and our 20-year track record of delivering smoothed investment outcomes.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 02 December 2025</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}}]},{"Id":null,"tabHeading":"October 2025","tabContent":[{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"43989b8c-3b5e-41f5-8036-cc866fa75eb5","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1129230059","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Video Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Adam Ruddle - Macro Market Update Q3 2025","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>\n<p>Perhaps you were tempted to follow the old London adage, &ldquo;sell in May, go away, don&rsquo;t come back till St Legers Day&rdquo;. It&rsquo;s a saying amongst investors that dates back to bankers and merchants selling their stocks in May, going off to their summer residence outside of London, and returning in September just in time for the St Leger races. Some years this advice may have worked well &ndash; but not this summer where markets have continued to hit all-time highs. The S&amp;P500 is up 19.3% since the start of May, 7.8% over the third quarter alone &ndash; with the best September performance of the last 15 years &ndash; supported by the September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. And the strong performance of equities was not limited to the US, UK equities were up 6.7% over the quarter &ndash; with Emerging Markets up 10.1% and Japanese equities up 11%. Not to be outshone, the yellow metal shot up 16.2% - a remarkable 45.8% over the year to the end of September. </p>\n<p>Over the quarter we&rsquo;ve seen a feisty tug of war with US policies that have been stoking inflation and stomping on global growth against the formidable march of Generative AI. Some clarity on tariffs and a range of trade deals, averting potential trade wars with the Eurozone and with China. These trade deals have gone a long way to calming markets. Not just protectionist trade policies; over the quarter, the One Big Beautiful Bill was passed which had the potential to burst the US piggy bank. However, these fears are as yet unfounded. We saw Treasury yields briefly sell off before rallying.<span>&nbsp; </span>The 10-year Treasury yield fell 7.8bps over the quarter and is down 41.9bps through the year so far. In this tug of war, technology seemed to gain the upper hand over the quarter with the Nasdaq, the &lsquo;home market&rsquo; of innovative technology firms, up 5.6% over September alone &ndash; and in line with the S&amp;P500, marking the best September for the Nasdaq for the last 15 years. </p>\n<p>We are, and have been, overweight global equities and US equities in particular. We&rsquo;ve paired this with an underweight on the US dollar which has worked fairly well. However, though the US dollar is down 8% over the year &ndash; marking it&rsquo;s worst performance for the last 50 years, we have seen a modest bounce over the third quarter with the dollar strengthening by about 1.2%. Over the second quarter, we reduced our overweight to European equities &ndash; which had been the strongest performer over Q1 &ndash; and moved underweight as European equities flattened. Instead, we grew increasingly positive on Emerging Markets with a meaningful overweight. This contributed well to performance as EM countries benefited from USD weakness and some tariff certainty. The highlights were Thailand but also Greece who benefitted from stronger performance from their banking sector. China also performed well having averted a trade war with the US and some early benefits from their anti-involution economic policy which seeks to curb intense price competition and reduce overcapacity in particular industries. Of course our continued overweight to Gold has been very positive as we continue to see reserve currency diversification from EM countries.</p>\n<p>Whilst we remain constructive on risk assets over Q4, there are a number of headwinds that could derail the strong momentum we&rsquo;ve experience. We are wary of continued challenges to the US Federal Reserve independence which will impact Treasury yields and may further accelerate the de-dollarisation across global economies. On the horizon, we see a particularly difficult UK winter budget. We saw sharp market jitters when it seemed Chancellor Reeves might lose her position. The market supports the Chancellor given her advocacy of strict fiscal rules &ndash; but the market is a notoriously fickle friend. More immediately, we&rsquo;re facing into President Trump&rsquo;s second US Federal Shutdown and one direct consequence is the delay to economic data publications that the Federal Reserve need to set monetary policy. In the absence of this data, further rate cuts are unlikely. Moving to tariffs, whilst the volume has been muted, this could suddenly amplify in a number of different guises, not least the outcome of the challenges in the US Supreme Court and the subsequent response from the Trump Administration. Inflation is proving particularly persistent in the US (likely due to US government policies) and the UK (likely due to UK government policies) which has slowed the expected pace of monetary policy easing. </p>\n<p><span>But, as it was not the time to sell in May and go away, we would instead remember that other investment proverb -&nbsp; &ldquo;it&rsquo;s not about timing the market, it&rsquo;s about time in the market&rdquo;. Our Smoothed Managed Funds ensure that your investments participate in the market but are protected from short-term volatility, and aim to deliver superior but stable performance time and time again. </span></p>\n<p><span>Until next time, goodbye</span></p>\n</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=DAC8ECD080CBAD324F3B6A1190DED40C","editButton":null,"alt":"Macro market update video thumbnail","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=37F0610D809781838BA6CBF5EEA0D671","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=DAC8ECD080CBAD324F3B6A1190DED40C"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=0D3DB46090C2C5F1ED09F3C39A86ADC5","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2025-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=D972C7F926AF2E9D90DFE99146E35605"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Adam Ruddle - Macro Market Update Q3 2025","type":""},"description":"<p>\n<p><span>What&rsquo;s next for the UK economy ahead of the Autumn Budget? LV= Chief Investment Officer Adam Ruddle speaks with Vivek Paul, BlackRock&rsquo;s Global Head of Portfolio Research and UK Chief Investment Strategist, to explore the key challenges shaping UK markets, from inflation and fiscal constraints to the outlook for interest rates and investor sentiment.</span></p>\n<p><span>\n<p><span>Recorded on 7 October 2025 </span></p>\n</span></p>\n</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}},{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"adb1ec0f-405e-4989-8694-ba08d9949234","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"left","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1129886960?fl=pl&amp;fe=sh","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Video Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Market Perspectives: Navigating UK Markets","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Hello, my name is Adam Ruddle. I'm the Chief Investment Officer at LV=, and welcome to the latest, in our view from the CIO series. Well, as we enter the fourth quarter of 2025, the UK economy is being confronted with some stark challenges. GDP growth is slowing 0.3% over the second quarter. That's lower than the already anaemic five-year average of 0.6%. Inflation has been stubbornly elevated at 3.8%. Vacancies have fallen. UK unemployment rate has increased to 4.7% and both year and abroad. We're seeing policies changing fiscal monetary trade and we're about to face into what could be one of the most painful UK budgets in our lifetime. I think I said that last time. Well, to help us navigate through this and to help us understand how markets have moved and how they've impacted us here in the UK, I'm delighted to be joined by a fantastic returning guest and an expert in UK macroeconomics. Today we're joined by Vivek, Paul, Vivek, welcome. Good to have you back. </p>\n<p><strong>Vivek Paul</strong></p>\n<p>Thank you. Thanks for having me back.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Well, Vivek is BlackRock's Global Head of Portfolio Research and the UK's Chief Investment Strategist and Vivek, I can't think of anyone better equipped to help us as we talk about UK markets now Vivek, although I've painted a somewhat drear and stormy view of the UK economy, UK equities have had a record year, although it's an imperfect representation of UK economy and UK companies but the FTSE<span>&nbsp; </span>100 started the year at just below 8200 and it's recently surged above 9500<a href=\"file:///C:/Users/LV68263/Downloads/Q4%202025%20Market%20Perspectives_Transcript.docx#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">[1]</span></a>. What's going on? What can you explain what's kind of driving the success of the FTSE 100 and UK equity more generally, and will this momentum continue, do you think?</p>\n<p><strong>Vivek Paul</strong></p>\n<p>Well, look, it's a great question and I think one thing that you've outlined in that question is a really important one. And let me go there first because I think we're in an environment where the macro and the market performance are not as tightly linked as they have always been. And I rationalise that by thinking that this is an environment where we've lost some macro anchors for one of a better word, things that we've been able to rely upon for a generation. You know, the idea of the role the US will play in the economy. You've mentioned that already. The idea of where inflation will be. These are things that we've kind of relied upon with certainty and we no longer can. </p>\n<p>And the reason that matters is because as you say, then you get a lot of competing views on the macro, which can affect some sentiment in a variety of ways. But actually what's going on in markets might be a little bit more related to, I guess some micro pictures or some areas of sort of mega forces that are affecting the global economy rather than, if you like, just the pure macro picture. So that's a bigger picture point that I'd make. </p>\n<p>And then to your point on UK equities, I think there's a really interesting thing that you notice when you look at the drivers. Of different equity markets this year and if I compare the United Kingdom to, say, the United. States, there's an interesting dynamic because actually what's been going on and driving that strong performance of UK equity year to date has been not a change in the perception of where earnings will be. It's actually been led a lot more by a repricing of UK stocks. So that is to say the amount. That an investor is willing to pay for &pound;1 of future earnings in the United Kingdom has shifted a little bit to become a little bit more expensive now than it was before. </p>\n<p>I compare and contrast that with, say, the United States and in particular like the MAG companies and so on, they're almost uniquely in the developed markets, equity performance has been driven by earnings and the delivery of earnings and the prospect for earnings to continue to do really well. And if I compare and contrast these drivers and then I kind of answer your question, what happens from here if all else equal, I'd rather rely upon the place where those earnings are coming through, then rely upon the idea that the markets reprice favourably a particular region, I think what we've seen in the UK is more a reflection of the fact that UK starting valuations were cheap. They've richened a little bit, but can we rely upon that the being the driver on a go forward basis? I think I probably prefer to rely upon earning strength and earnings delivery, which means that all else equal, I'd have a little bit more of a bias towards say United States equity in the near run than in the United Kingdom.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Great. Thank you. That's really, really helpful to understand. On the equity picture, moving away from equities now and into interest rates. You know, we've seen interest rates certainly in the UK rise over the year. We were expecting monetary policy easing. And yes, we've had some rate cuts from the Bank of England, but as you think about the Bank of England and how they're thinking about monetary policy, what challenges do you think they face? And if I expand the question a little bit more, if you think about. From a fiscal perspective, what challenges does the government face?</p>\n<p><strong>Vivek Paul</strong></p>\n<p>Well, I mean this this is the question of now, right. And I think again let's start global and go to the UK, and what I think is interesting is I think this is a global story in the sense that you go back to April, there's one game in town, it was tariffs and the uncertainty that to do with that right now, I think the global picture is where the rates go and what's the fiscal picture. </p>\n<p>Now in the United Kingdom, we have particular challenges with regards to that as you said. So there are forces that I think are keeping global rates high. They're related to some of the dynamics I&rsquo;ve already talked about, some of the uncertainty, some of the inflationary pressures more broadly are keeping global rates high. And for us in the UK, what's happening in the US does matter. It does move our yields around. But the particular challenges I guess we're facing in the United Kingdom are the fact that given the nature of our economy, comparatively small and open relative to some of those other economies we're talking about, we are more likely to perhaps be buffeted by the relative perception of the UK economy, strength by global investors. </p>\n<p>And that's why it makes the budget, as you've already alluded to, is so crucial to watch. So why is that? Well, look, we're an environment where debt, GDP ratios are high in our lifetimes and we've never seen them as sustainably as high as this, apart from very clearly in the aftermath of the Second World War, it was higher. But you have that coupled with the fact that as you said earlier, the cost of servicing that debt has gone up because interest rates have gone up. You put those two things together and you have one of the top items in the balance sheet for the United Kingdom Treasury as servicing debt costs. So in that environment they can't be seen as trying to go on a borrowing splurge to finance the growth and they are constrained by that dynamic and why the budget matters in particular is, look the markets are thinking, well, how much can they tighten the belt in the sense of the political pressure they face from their own backbenchers? </p>\n<p>Maybe not much. How much are they likely to have to pursue strategies that might be challenging to growth? As in, you make the books balance up by, for instance, raising taxes, which might hurt growth in the short run, so these are the particular challenges facing the United Kingdom. My prior would be that look, if I were to be able to sit here and close my eyes and come back in 10 years, I probably think that the current level of UK long data yields is probably okay. I'd be worried though, about the volatility we're going to see in that over the course of the next three months as all of the political noise comes out around about the budget, I think we could continue to see some volatility and long dated UK gilt yields for that reason. </p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Great. Well, thank you for that. Lots of uncertainty there coming through, but perhaps to close on a more positive note as we&rsquo;re in the fourth quarter. The year is drawing to a close. What opportunities do you see for the year ahead? What things are you excited about and what things do you think would help advisors and their clients?</p>\n<p><strong>Vivek Paul</strong></p>\n<p>Well, I think the first point to make is you know, throughout all of that uncertainty, it paid to kind of be in the markets, right. It paid to be invested and you know, even from our perspective, when we had, I think we've probably the peak uncertainty with the benefit of hindsight in around about April, we doubled down on our pro risk stance at that time. And I think you know benefit of hindsight that that kind of worked out quite well. </p>\n<p>We continue to have a modest risk on bias now, and I say that not because I'm trying to downplay some of those macro uncertainties that we talked about, but more because I think there are other structural forces that are really important too, which will continue to play out. I believe, for instance, that you know we are in the midst of a revolution with regards to AI and the role that that plays in our broader sort of economic system, and I think we are still at relatively early innings with regards to that. </p>\n<p>So the AI momentum story is one that we'd continue to buy into on a shorter period of time. The other point I'd make is I think there is an opportunity at this moment in time to really find pockets of value in a way that we couldn't before because dispersion is higher. Because of those competing macro narratives we talked about, we have seen the dispersion in terms of the performance of stock returns, the difference in terms of how bond yields are done in this country versus that country. These are all our elevated levels of dispersion, which means if you're able to kind of time it right, if you're able to kind of add value, then the reward on offer is even greater. So when we're building portfolios, we actually think about leaning more into strategies which can profit from that dispersion. It doesn't mean you're guaranteed to get it, but it means if you have skill, the alpha on potential is higher.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Thank you, Vivek, as insightful as ever. </p>\n<p>Well as a life insurer, as a leading mutual, we believe that we are well placed to help your clients, our customers and our Members manage some of the uncertainty that we've spoken about and be able to harness some of those opportunities. Our suite of smoothed managed funds help ensure that your investments are fully participating in the market, but are protected from short term volatility and aim to deliver a superior yet stable investment return time and time again. Well, thank you again, Vivek, and thank you for watching. We hope you can join us again next time. Goodbye.</p>\n<p>&lt;End&gt;</p>\n<p>For UK financial adviser use only. Client capital at risk. </p>\n<p><span>Please remember that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns. </span></p>\n<span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">Our smoothing process helps to reduce the impact of market volatility, but it won't prevent your investment from dropping in value.</span>\n<div><br clear=\"all\" />\n<hr align=\"left\" size=\"1\" width=\"33%\" />\n<div id=\"ftn1\">\n<p><a href=\"file:///C:/Users/LV68263/Downloads/Q4%202025%20Market%20Perspectives_Transcript.docx#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\"><span style=\"line-height: 115%;\">[1]</span></a> <span>FTSE 100 Index at 9,548 on 8 October 2025</span></p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=2F0610A7B94DB69F9FB39CC99B1BD773","editButton":null,"alt":"Two men shaking hands","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=62789316ECB4149EB558C0427007634E","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=2F0610A7B94DB69F9FB39CC99B1BD773"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=AD792EE39B0788BEBC8A3D5E937358F5","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-navigating-uk-markets-video-card-720x405.png?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=E6F4D31EBAC463CDF3E9A35B08322814"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Market Perspectives: Navigating UK Markets","type":""},"description":"<p>Defying expectations and rewriting old market rules. In this quarter&rsquo;s Macro Market Update, Adam Ruddle shares insights on what&rsquo;s behind this year&rsquo;s rally, from rate cuts and trade deals to the growing influence of AI and emerging markets.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 7 October 2025</p>\n<br />","isEditMode":false,"html":null}}]},{"Id":null,"tabHeading":"August 2025","tabContent":[{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"a36b0923-c6d7-4d05-9e92-cbf5a2b66b08","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1113573231","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Video Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Market Perspectives: One year of strategic partnership","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Hello and welcome to the latest in our view from the CIO series. My name is Adam Ruddle and I'm the chief investment officer at LV. </p>\n<p>Well, what a remarkable 12 months we've had from a new UK government to the return of President Trump, this time supported with a supportive Republican majority in both houses of Congress. And we've had to deal with challenges around budgets and changing trade policies, but it hasn't all been negative. </p>\n<p>We've seen enterprise values surge worth several stock markets around the world reaching all time highs and notably in NVIDIA and Microsoft, becoming the first companies to reach that 4 trillion U.S. dollar valuation, boosted by remarkable growth in generative AI that's expected to increase our productivity. </p>\n<p>European stock markets have outperformed with the German tax up over 20% year to date and that shiny gold metal has also reached new heights, driven by central banks looking for alternatives to the once mighty U.S. dollar. This also marks one year as an important milestone in our history of our smooth managed funds. Just a year ago, Black Rock became our primary asset manager, fully embedded and our relationship has continued to grow from strength to strength. We've benefited from Black Rock's depth of funds and strategies and expertise, and our partnership has been built on shared long term growth and a shared long term objective of superior risk adjusted investment returns for our Members.</p>\n<p>And speaking of expertise, I'm delighted to be joined by Black Rock&rsquo;s, Chris Ellis Thomas Chris is our lead investment professional at Black Rock and Chris is also our first returning guest one year on from our last interview, but today we'll be focusing on how we've been working together over the last year. Well, Chris, welcome back.</p>\n<p><strong>Chris Ellis Thomas</strong></p>\n<p>Hello, thanks for having me.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Back it's great to have you now, Chris. I don't think either of us thought that we would be managing such sharp volatility so early on in our relationship, we had that sharp volatility last August and then again in April where we had to wade through the tariff trauma from your perspective and Chris, how have you seen Black Rock navigate those risks and opportunities over the last 12 months to deliver against our strategic asset allocation and pursue superior risk adjusted returns?</p>\n<p><strong>Chris Ellis Thomas</strong></p>\n<p>Thinking back 12 months ago, we were in quite a different world. The different UK Prime Minister, a different U.S. President, markets focused on really very different things. There's been a lot of volatility since and much of that driven by geopolitics, politics, trade, discussions, tariffs. And for the most part, investors have been rewarded for looking through that noise. But one of the things that I think about when I go back to our discussions before Black Rock took over running the portfolios was our focus on diversification and how we thought that that could add value and give us the ability to be nimble through these kinds of environments. </p>\n<p>And I think that's really been true. So if we think back to adding inflation linked bonds, adding emerging market debt to the to the portfolios, not to mention gold, as you mentioned, which is which has been doing particularly well, those things have really helped us with the with the navigation of this type of environment. </p>\n<p>The other thing that I think has been important has been the addition of complementary different investment styles, so different ways of picking stocks. Different ways of selecting securities in the portfolios I think has really benefited us in terms of diversification overall.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Thanks, Chris. And perhaps as a reminder of how our relationship works, LV set the top-down investment strategy and management of our portfolios, while BlackRock brings that bottom up stock and security selection and also tactical asset allocation to ensure that we can generate and harvest alpha that relative return against our benchmarks. And Chris, with that in mind, have there been any important developments or pivots that have generated significant investment performance?</p>\n<p><strong>Chris Ellis Thomas</strong></p>\n<p>I think it's first, worth thinking about the things that we've done in the portfolios. Throughout the period, so the positions that we've held on to and I think there were really two that we've had. So, one has been the idea of being overweight equities and underweight government bonds. That was a view that we had at the at the outset and we've adjusted that positioning through time. </p>\n<p>We've adjusted the interest rate sensitivity through the government bond position and we've adjusted how much we've been overweight equities. But as I mentioned, broadly being overweight equities and underweight government bonds for that year has been a kind of a value-add thing in the portfolio. </p>\n<p>The other view we had, which is a bit more nuanced but has added some incremental value, has been being overweight, emerging market debt. So, dollar debt issued by emerging market countries in particular and underweight high yield debt. Both of them thought of as more risky parts of the fixed income spectrum. But the emerging market debt tends to have slightly better quality, slightly higher sovereign rate and so a mix of those two things. So being overweight, emerging market debt and underweight high yield leaves us with net-net about the same amount of risk. But we think within the incremental pickup in terms of yield, that's really added some slight value over the period. </p>\n<p>I think adding gold has been you, you alluded to it earlier, gold has really played a valuable role in the in the portfolios. Gold, in our mind, had played two roles. There's a kind of a more strategic a longer-term view around gold and the shorter term view. So that longer term view is predicated on the idea of de-dollarisation, so dollars being less liked by institutions around the world. We don't necessarily think central banks around the world will sell all of their dollars, but we do think at the margin, they're looking for ways to diversify and gold is certainly playing that role. </p>\n<p>We think that will continue and as it does, we think it, it should be underpinned as a valuable asset class, and the same time, we think that more tactically there are, there are certainly areas at times, when you can find good entry points and times where you might want to decrease your weight. So we've been trying to navigate that a little bit. </p>\n<p>And then, finally, coming back to those different investment styles and how we think they can add value. The two that we really focus on are systematic type managers and fundamental type managers. So systematic type managers are tending to try and add value by using AI, machine learning, advanced statistical techniques, big data. Alternative sources of data to try and find incremental pieces of return across large pools of securities across large numbers of securities. So that's really useful in an environment where you don't have lots of visibility around what's going on in macro environment and where corporates have lots of uncertainty.</p>\n<p>But then we pair that with fundamental managers, managers who are trying to pick or trying to get to know securities, get to know stocks and much smaller group of stock. But get to know their management in depth, get to know their business models, really try and add value by choosing the companies that we think are either undervalued or just much higher quality than the other securities in their segments. So those two approaches, again they&rsquo;ve added value over time and we think really quite useful in the in the funds. </p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Thanks, Chris, and you know, I think one of the strengths of our partnership so far has been that ability to keep evolving and keep innovating the way that we review and monitor those building block funds and strategies. And just to make sure that we're well placed for those future opportunities. And thinking about those opportunities, Chris, in your perspective, what are some of those key opportunities that could benefit the LV fund over the next 12 months? And I guess thinking about Black Rock in particular, how is Black Rock best placed to outperform?</p>\n<p><strong>Chris Ellis Thomas</strong></p>\n<p>I think bringing the parts of our investment strategy together in the same way we'll continue to add value. So, matching the tactical asset allocation with the different investment styles that on its own, we think because we have an edge in each of those areas should add value. </p>\n<p>If I were to think about our outlook for the tactical asset allocation, we are still pro equities and still underweight government bonds and those two things haven't changed. We've trimmed a little bit our equity overweight, given where markets have rallied to and the potential for volatility through the through the rest of the year. But that view remains in place. And I can't see anything changing that much really in the short term. </p>\n<p>Black Rock as an institution now I think has several edges, its scale adds value to all of the things that we do with you already. But I think what's really exciting is what Black Rock's been investing in over the last couple of years or particularly the last year, really beefing up its capabilities. In private markets, it'd be really interesting to see if we can lean into that and bring some of that to bear in the in the LV portfolios.</p>\n<p><strong>Adam Ruddle</strong></p>\n<p>Well, Chris, thank you for your insights and thank you again for joining us. This partnership has delivered really strong risk adjusted returns for our members and helping our members participate in market growth, but also be protected from short term volatility to deliver robust but resilient returns. And to experience strong, stable and smooth performance. Well, thank you for watching and we hope you'll join us again next time. Goodbye.</p>\n<p>&lt;End&gt;</p>\n<p>For UK financial adviser use only. Client capital at risk. </p>\n<p>Please remember that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns. </p>\n<p>Our smoothing process helps to reduce the impact of market volatility, but it won't prevent your investment from dropping in value.</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=D386A5515A887EE4D776D1211742B9EA","editButton":null,"alt":"Still of video","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=F597727DD04E368CDD6C8BCD452F8479","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=D386A5515A887EE4D776D1211742B9EA"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=6000FBC25C714011380481A6C227632A","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/aug-2025-market-perspectives-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=D71F434AA8991B89816DC42A341F2A2E"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Market Perspectives: One year of strategic partnership","type":""},"description":"<p>How has our strategic partnership enabled us to navigate challenging markets? LV= CIO Adam Ruddle is joined by Chris Ellis Thomas, Portfolio Manager &amp; Lead Strategist at BlackRock, to reflect on the first year of our partnership and the strategies that have delivered strong, risk-adjusted returns for our members.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 7 August 2025</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}},{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"57e3eb75-6d33-42d3-a74a-32f701f1e5a1","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1113573884","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Video Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Adam Ruddle - 2025 Mid-year Update","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>\n</p>\n<p>Government policy instability, painful reciprocal tariffs, weakening employment data, persistent inflation drifting upwards &ndash; and yet, somehow, equity markets are at all-time highs. Stay with me as I set out how we&rsquo;ve managed to navigate these uncertain and, at times, surprising investment conditions. </p>\n<p>Our last video was recorded a few days after 185 countries and territories were targeted with US reciprocal tariffs &ndash; and the markets were selling off rapidly. Over 5 Trillion US dollars wiped off the S&amp;P500. Of course, it wasn&rsquo;t just the US, across the world all equity markets were falling as they tried to digest the impact of increased trade protectionism. The so-called Trump Put, the concept that the US President known for his business savvy would be guided by the markets, had seemed to fail. But then, the bond markets began to react as the problems facing Wall Street started to impact Main Street too. US Treasuries began to sell off and in just over 2 days, the yield curve had jumped upwards about 50 basis points. Where equity markets had failed, the bond markets had again succeeded &ndash; and President Trump announced a 90 day pause &ndash; equity markets rallied and bond markets cooled.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;Of course, it hasn&rsquo;t quite been that straightforward. The markets were watching and pricing in each new trade deal or announcement &ndash; and although equity markets continue to break records, it&rsquo;s clear the tariffs have caused some potentially irreparable damage. A fellow Chief Investment Officer describes this as the US opening up the engine of global trade, and rather than topping it up with oil, shovels in some sand. Even with the US back-tracking and trying to clean out and restore the engine, the damage is done, and whilst the engine will get working again, it won&rsquo;t run as well as it used to. </p>\n<p>Allowing for these risks, throughout this period, we remained overweight equities &ndash; and US equities especially where we remain encouraged by the unrivalled innovation we see in the US time and time again. It wasn&rsquo;t just US equities &ndash; we had a clear preference for US technology as the impact of generative AI would continue to play out. An overweight in US equity meant we had to hold our nerve during the worst of the tariff turmoil in early April where it seemed like US equities were the hardest hit. Since then, we&rsquo;ve seen US equities outperform other equity markets &ndash; from the lows in early April, the S&amp;P500 was up 27.2% YTD to the end of July &ndash; largely driven by tech stocks. We saw the AI theme deepen as Nvidia became the first company valued over 4 Trillion USD in early July &ndash; by the end of the month, Microsoft had joined Nvidia in that exclusive club. Remember, it was only two and half years ago that we had the first 3 Trillion dollar company. </p>\n<p>We&rsquo;ve benefitted from the surprising strength of European equities over Q1 and into Q2 where the German DAX rose by 21% given the shift in Germany to greater fiscal expansion. We banked some of this gain to early June and have now moved underweight Europe which was broadly flat during June and July. We also benefitted from an overweight position in Japanese equities where the Nikkei is up 31.9% over the same period. As we prepared for Liberation Day, we had reduced our USD exposure and instead increased our Yen holdings which added some strong resilience to our portfolios as the Yen rallied whilst the Dollar weakened significantly. </p>\n<p>Our holdings in gold have been a key source of resilience and robust outperformance - especially during April - and continue to provide a solid hedge against uncertain US policy. Gold was up as high as 32.4% in April and although it has come off those market highs, it remains up about 26.7% YTD to the end of July. </p>\n<p>More generally, market reactions to US policy shifts and announcements have become increasingly muted over time; assuming there will always be a back-track or later reversal of some sort. More likely, it seems the first announcement is a negotiation, and the reality will not be quite as bad. A word of warning, this does underestimate the risk of truly disruptive US policies &ndash; because this doesn&rsquo;t happen in a vacuum, it is not just the US action but also the reaction it prompts from other countries, that will impact market valuations. </p>\n<p>As we have seen over Q2 and into July, this warning is also an opportunity as markets have continued to be resilient even when the concerns and risks begin to mount. </p>\n<p>Rick Reider, the CIO for fixed income at BlackRock, sheds some light on this, saying that &ldquo;markets are not ignoring risk: they are pricing a system built to absorb it. A service-oriented economy, fortress balance sheets, and a liquidity rich investor base deliver a two for one: resilient growth and elevated fixed income yields&rdquo; <a href=\"https://lvfs-my.sharepoint.com/personal/lv66332_lvfs_net/Documents/Downloads/AdamRuddle_Q2_25_Mid%20year%20update%20transcript_Final.docx#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]</a></p>\n<p>We think Rick may be right. And ultimately, it&rsquo;s not just US trade policies, the market has to also price in (1) breakthroughs in AI and other technological solutions to increase productivity; (2) populist policies leading to increased fiscal expansion; (3) the fact that weaker jobs data means weaker economies that in turn should prompt easing monetary policy that benefits equity and bond markets; (4) the indomitable strength of household finances supported by a host of disciplined corporate balance sheets &ndash; there&rsquo;s never just one factor at play &ndash; and the combination of all these factors, we believe, has been the source of robust and resilient market performance. </p>\n<p>If the last four months have taught us anything, it&rsquo;s that market volatility should be embraced in the pursuit of strong but stable investment returns. If that volatility is uncomfortable, well, there&rsquo;s never been a better time to invest in our smoothed managed funds that continues to cushion that volatility for your clients and our members. </p>\n<p>Until next time, goodbye.</p>\n<div><br clear=\"all\" />\n<hr align=\"left\" size=\"1\" width=\"33%\" />\n<div id=\"ftn1\">\n<p><a href=\"https://lvfs-my.sharepoint.com/personal/lv66332_lvfs_net/Documents/Downloads/AdamRuddle_Q2_25_Mid%20year%20update%20transcript_Final.docx#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\">[1]</a> <a href=\"https://www.ft.com/content/70305b6c-6e16-4e42-b336-35eebb9802fb\">The volatility paradox: why markets stay calm despite the noise</a></p>\n</div>\n</div>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=E982DAF5C3330F4A25208BCC9428D94B","editButton":null,"alt":"Intro card to video","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=D0D594DEB64C816AA584A1547A5D37B9","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=E982DAF5C3330F4A25208BCC9428D94B"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=7E11A7E634B2FC07A21051C8AFB61A0C","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/2025-midyear-update-video-card-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=503D583BC045EF3D7DF096348047103F"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Adam Ruddle - 2025 Mid-year Update","type":""},"description":"<p>Join Adam Ruddle as he shares how we have navigated an environment of volatility amidst a period of tariffs, policy instability, weakening jobs data, and rising inflation in his 2025 Mid-year update.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 7 August 2025</p>\n<br />","isEditMode":false,"html":null}}]},{"Id":null,"tabHeading":"April 2025","tabContent":[{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"c3ca8b49-524a-496e-8d43-904d8046fb09","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1079715879","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Video Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Market Perspectives: How AI is transforming markets","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>Well, hello and welcome to the latest in our view from the CIO series with tariff trauma, dominating headlines and market volatility soaring.</p>\n<p>It wouldn't be surprising if you thought AI was stale or old news, but we think the AI journey is just getting started.</p>\n<p>And at the end of January, we saw the next stage in the race for AI supremacy with the emergence of deep seek ai.</p>\n<p>Well, to help us through this, to help us understand how AI has evolved, uh, the op investment opportunities that are provided and how this can impact our investment process, I'm delighted that we have a real expert with us.</p>\n<p>My guest this quarter is the amazing Simona Pervan Melling off the global CIO of solutions and BlackRock's Multi-Asset Strategies and Solutions Group.</p>\n<p>Perhaps of greater relevance though to our conversation.</p>\n<p>Simona is also the distinguished affiliated professor at Cambridge University.</p>\n<p>Simona, thank you so much for joining us.</p>\n<p>It's a real privilege to have you with us.</p>\n<p>Thank you for the opportunity.</p>\n<p>Well, let's get right into it.</p>\n<p>Uh, certainly at the start of Q1, uh, markets were very interested in ai.</p>\n<p>There was a lot of strong sentiment.</p>\n<p>And if we think about how NVIDIA has performed over 20 23, 20 24, the shockwaves from Deep Seek in January, how have you seen AI evolve over the last few years Since the publication of the seminal paper Attention is All You Need, which basically introduced the transformer architecture and the pinning large language models.</p>\n<p>AI has been the subject of what I would call a revival.</p>\n<p>Why do I use the word revival?</p>\n<p>Because the reality is that AI as an academic discipline has actually been around since the 1950s, so it's quite natural to ask the question for a discipline that has been around since the fifties.</p>\n<p>Why the excitement right now, and this is down to, if you allow me the expression, an explosion, an explosion on two fronts in particular, first on computational power.</p>\n<p>I'm sure many people would've heard the examples that nowadays on, on our phones, we have more computing power than NASA had at the time of sending the first man to the moon and second, an explosion in data.</p>\n<p>So just to put that into context, the stock of data globally has grown from something like two zetabytes to well over a hundred zetabytes in the space of just over a decade.</p>\n<p>And a zettabyte is an awfully large number with an awfully long number of, uh, of zeros.</p>\n<p>And what is very interesting is actually that that trend in data is expected to continue and to continue for a number of reasons, including the Internet of Things and Internet of Things is all about our refrigerator and telling our app that we need to buy, uh, some milk.</p>\n<p>And to put that into, into context again, the moment we put, for example, two self-driving vehicle, uh, on the road, they're gonna generate the equivalent of eight</p>\n<p>to 9,000 internet users in terms of underlying data.</p>\n<p>So AI is truly a major, uh, transformation.</p>\n<p>This is why at BlackRock we refer to AI as a mega force, a transformation with an impact, a significant impact over markets and the economy over the medium, uh, to long term.</p>\n<p>And actually probably no place, uh, has more clear evidence of the application and the impact of AI than science itself.</p>\n<p>Let's think of the Nobel Prize winning work in, uh, addressing the protein folding problem.</p>\n<p>Despite all the excitement though around, um, around AI and in particular sort of generative AI is is also important to underline the fact that the rate</p>\n<p>of adoption in the economy as a whole remains relatively muted.</p>\n<p>So according to data from the US Census Bureau, based on last year's, uh, survey, the rate of adoption even on the US corporate is still in single digits.</p>\n<p>And this is a very powerful reminder that AI adoption is not a sprint, but a marathon.</p>\n<p>Certainly at Alvi, we've been really excited and keen to explore the opportunities that AI provides us.</p>\n<p>As you've said, this has been going on since the fifties, and I know BlackRock have been a very early adopter in in ai.</p>\n<p>Could you talk to us a little bit more about that and how BlackRock, as an asset manager, uses insights from AI to help consider the assets that we invest in?</p>\n<p>98</p>\n<p>So broadly speaking, there are two camps of applications of, of ai.</p>\n<p>One is around operational efficiency and the other is around the alpha use cases.</p>\n<p>So let me touch briefly on, on each of them, starting with operational efficiency.</p>\n<p>In the operational efficiency camp, there are a number of AI applications that are not necessarily specific</p>\n<p>to finance, such as, for example, translation.</p>\n<p>What we have found is that very often in terms of operational efficiency, some of the most exciting applications of AI are actually in the most, if you allow me the expression, boring areas of, uh, of running an asset management company.</p>\n<p>A very good example of this is that we have leveraged, um, AI to extract compliance rule from investment management agreement.</p>\n<p>And this has resulted in significant, uh, reduction in coding time, but also in the time needed to review account.</p>\n<p>So it's a very good example of AI bringing excitement into areas that perhaps are not that exciting to start with.</p>\n<p>Now, moving to the other, um, category, which is the alpha use cases.</p>\n<p>It will not surprise you to hear that this is an area I'm personally very excited about as an investor, but also as an academic as that's really the core of what I teach at, uh, at Cambridge.</p>\n<p>As you mentioned at BlackRock, we've been using AI in the broadest sense for for quite some time.</p>\n<p>So it's particular, our systematic team have been using these techniques for well over a decade.</p>\n<p>And there are many applications already, uh, live.</p>\n<p>So for example, in addition to using AI to assess the sentiment from, uh, earnings call, um, we are actually using, uh, this technique to identify companies with moats.</p>\n<p>In other words, we, we use algorithm to scour, for example, broker reports to identify sort of mentioning of, uh, comparative advantage or pricing power to really identify companies, quality companies with more, uh, resilient margins and uh, return on, on equity.</p>\n<p>Let me very, very clear, these are not pie in the sky sort of academic example.</p>\n<p>These are real applications that impact portfolios including, for example, the BlackRock advantage range that LV is invested in.</p>\n<p>Absolutely. And we can fully endorse that.</p>\n<p>I think in our smooth marriage funds.</p>\n<p>We invest in a number of those systematic strategies and they've been a very strong, uh, driver of growth and good performance over 2024.</p>\n<p>In 2025 so far. What next?</p>\n<p>We've seen businesses hyperscalers investing billions into ai, that's gonna bring some innovation, some change.</p>\n<p>Uh, how do you see AI changing and evolving over the next few years?</p>\n<p>While there is still, uh, a number of question marks on the speed and magnitude of the AI transformation impact the evidence from both the private sector as well as academia is that AI is likely to be productivity announcing and also that its impact will be broad based from scientific research all the way to automating processing in uh, manufacturing.</p>\n<p>So from an investment point of view, and in particular from an investment opportunities point of view, there are three areas to emphasize.</p>\n<p>In particular. Number one, adoption.</p>\n<p>The focus is shifting from the innovation per se, to adoption.</p>\n<p>This will create winners and losers both at the sector levels but also within sectors.</p>\n<p>And this leads nicely to opportunity.</p>\n<p>Number two, stock pickers.</p>\n<p>This will create opportunities for stock pickers that are able to identify companies that are able to leverage AI more effectively.</p>\n<p>And finally, this is not just about public markets.</p>\n<p>The AI investment theme is not just about public equities, but it's also about private markets with data centers.</p>\n<p>IE infrastructure investing being a primary example.</p>\n<p>In summary, um, AI is a marathon, not a sprint.</p>\n<p>Um, but as we know, it's a very important for investor to embark on the marathon given the significant opportunities along the way.</p>\n<p>Oh, well, Simona, thank you so much for those enlightening insights.</p>\n<p>Um, AI is certainly a very interesting, uh, subject and one that we could spend a lot more time talking about.</p>\n<p>So thank you again for your time.</p>\n<p>Uh, with smooth managed funds, we believe that we are already offering and, and benefiting from some of those ai uh, opportunities through the, our investment in BlackRock systematic funds.</p>\n<p>Um, well thank you so much for joining us.</p>\n<p>Uh, thank you for watching, and we look forward to seeing you again in a few months.</p>\n<p>Goodbye.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=FD2FD98027196BCF13E424C58C3EA0E9","editButton":null,"alt":"Still of 'Market Perspective with Simona Paravani' video","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=A52AF261152AF724B499AF1EB638EDE1","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=FD2FD98027196BCF13E424C58C3EA0E9"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=277525F536FAAE00A8BCA8D3BA0CC24D","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspective-simona-paravani.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=F7ECDF09ED038CE4161CD83B04712E30"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Market Perspectives: How AI is transforming markets","type":""},"description":"<p>In our latest episode of Market Perspectives, our CIO, Adam Ruddle is joined by Simona Paravani, CFA, Global CIO of Solutions at BlackRock and affiliated professor at Cambridge University, to discuss how AI is transforming markets, firm practice management, and investment strategies.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 7 April 2025</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}},{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"8a8976e0-44cc-486a-b1e5-033108591708","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1079715953","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open Video Transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Macro Market Update: Q1 2025","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>It was meant to be another year of strong US exceptionalism where the indomitable s and p 500 would continue to march upwards.</p>\n<p>Surging ahead of the FTSE 100, the German Dax, the Nikai, the hang, not to mention outperforming bonds, cash, and everything in between.</p>\n<p>Well, hello and welcome to my review of markets over Q1 2025, where I set out the three distinct events over Q1 that challenged the promise of strong US equity returns.</p>\n<p>You could argue that until the middle of February, the narrative of US exceptionalism seems to be holding true.</p>\n<p>The s and p 500 hit another record high in mid Feb, but the cracks were starting to form.</p>\n<p>Deep SEEK led a new stage in the race for AI supremacy.</p>\n<p>Secondly, a European response to hostile US policies.</p>\n<p>So European equity significantly outperformed the us.</p>\n<p>And finally, self-inflicted tariff trauma from US trade policies have damaged the prospect of US strength.</p>\n<p>In fact, over Q1, the s and p 500 would not only fail to lead a period of strong equity performance, but it would also deliver negative returns even beaten by the return on government bonds.</p>\n<p>Well, let's explore these three drivers in turn.</p>\n<p>Firstly, US dominance of generative AI took a hit when the Chinese hedge fund high flyer released deep seek ai, which became the most downloaded app over the last weekend of January.</p>\n<p>NVIDIA and the four hyperscalers, Amazon, Microsoft Alphabet and meta lost almost $750 billion before markets opened after that busy weekend.</p>\n<p>This marked a new stage in the race for AI dominance.</p>\n<p>The NVIDIA share price has still not recovered and remains below their value on the Friday before deep seek was released.</p>\n<p>Well, secondly, European equities have performed well enjoying easing monetary policy from the European Central Bank who cut rates by one and a half percentage points since last June, though seemingly counterintuitive, this particularly supported European banks who were up about 27.5% over Q1.</p>\n<p>In response to these US policies, European defence spending is expected to solve with Germany already announcing a series of fiscal packages to boost infrastructure and defence spending.</p>\n<p>A basket of European aerospace and defence companies was up 28.9% over Q1 US policies intended to make America great again, seemed, at least in the short term, to be making Europe great again.</p>\n<p>And then finally, the surprising focus of the initial tariffs on US neighbours, Canada and Mexico, only to be delayed or altered, introduced a new Trump slump.</p>\n<p>As the market began to reevaluate the optimism felt of the election result in November.</p>\n<p>By the end of Q1, global equities were down at 2.1%, led by the s and p 500, down 4.6%, but there were areas that had performed well.</p>\n<p>Gold prices grew by 19.5% and were seen as an effective hedge against uncertain US policies.</p>\n<p>China and Hong Kong were performing strongly with the hang sen up 15.25%, and the German DAX was up 11.3%, but more was to come on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>The 2nd of April, the US administration announced Liberation Day with a series of new tariffs intended to be reciprocal with a minimum underpin.</p>\n<p>Though markets had been expecting and gradually pricing in these tariffs, those announced were almost twice as bad as was expected.</p>\n<p>The market had been pricing in an effective tariff rate of about 10%, and the combined effect of the tariffs announced were more like a 20% effective rate.</p>\n<p>So over the Thursday and Friday markets partly priceless increase, hoping that negotiations would dampen the impact from 20% to about 14, 15% retaliation from China with other countries sure to respond have left some market participants pricing in a general and painful recession, the so-called Trump put, which was an expectation that President Trump would refrain from policies that the market clearly disliked was woefully ineffective.</p>\n<p>And over the Thursday and Friday that week, the s and p 500 lost nearly $5 trillion in value.</p>\n<p>The fallout from Liberation Day will continue to be felt for some time as markets and firms around the world adjust, but adjust they will.</p>\n<p>And while some stocks have fallen significantly, their underlying and fundamental value still remains.</p>\n<p>And this is the time for calm and collected investors to position for success within our smooth managed funds.</p>\n<p>We have weathered many crises from the global financial crisis to the Covid crisis, and we have delivered robust and resilient returns in the face of growing uncertainty and volatility well.</p>\n<p>Until next time, goodbye.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=A70EA0FD447CF9E99A0341AA784D7EC8","editButton":null,"alt":"Video card with 'Q1 2025 Macro Market Update' title","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=2DA997D5F537B9974176D4537F413CA6","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=A70EA0FD447CF9E99A0341AA784D7EC8"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=9F5988E31DD4AEA6A3525103182225CF","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q1-2025.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=6473BBA3999EC5797D49A96908119027"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Macro Market Update: Q1 2025","type":""},"description":"<p>In his latest video update, Adam Ruddle, Chief Investment Officer at LV=, explores three major events that disrupted early expectations for 2025 and shifted market momentum in surprising directions.</p>\n<p>Watch the video to find out what happened, what&rsquo;s been shaping the markets, and what it could mean for your clients in the months ahead.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 7 April 2025</p>\n<br />","isEditMode":false,"html":null}}]},{"Id":null,"tabHeading":"January 2025","tabContent":[{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"c1f65108-af4a-4e2d-9547-214a4282ccf7","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1054530811","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open video transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Market Perspectives: What megatrends might we see in 2025?","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>00:00:12 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Hello and welcome to the latest in our Market Perspective series. It's the middle of January. It's a new year, and we thought it would be helpful to consider how the markets might move in 2025. And where best to look then the outlook reports of our primary asset manager, BlackRock. Now outlook reports,</p>\n<p>and there are many to choose from, are a little like New Year's resolutions. They break apart,</p>\n<p>fall away, don't quite work, after the third Monday of the year.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:00:43 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>But the BlackRock report we find to be much more reliable. In BlackRock's 2024 outlook, for example, themes around persistent inflation and slowing monetary policy easing came to pass as expected. Well, I'm delighted to be joined by Devan Nathwani. Devan is the portfolio strategist for the BlackRock Investment Institute.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:01:04 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Devan, thank you for joining us. The BlackRock Investment Institute is sometimes called a think tank for BlackRock. And late last year your team released the 2025 Global Outlook. One of the key themes in that outlook was that this is no mere investment cycle change that we're living through, but instead we're at the point of a global economic transformation. Can you unpack that for us a little bit? Tell us a little more about that.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:01:32 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>So, we can't really talk about 2025 without first talking about 2024 at first, 2024 really confirmed that this is and continues to be an unusual investment environment. In markets, we had market narrative</p>\n<p>swinging from a tech rally that was, you know, driven by excitement over AI technology to, recession fears in August and then back towards a more broadened out to US stock market rally.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:01:57 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>From a macro perspective, we had some interesting puzzles where in the US in particular, we had this, fail-safe recession indicator known as the Sahm Rule, fail. We had inflation come down, but without growth really slowing. And we also had central banks reach peak tightness, and yet financial conditions</p>\n<p>tended to be easy, still.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:02:16 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>So all of that to us spells signs that actually this is not about a typical business cycle. This is not about an expansion, or a recession around some long-term rate of growth. This is about a transformation</p>\n<p>taking place. We think we're in the midst of a transformation. More specifically, we think that this transformation is being driven by what we call mega forces or structural shifts.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:02:38 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>Now, examples of that include AI, the low carbon transition, geopolitical fragmentation, but crucially, these transformations not only have the potential to change the trajectory of economies themselves,</p>\n<p>but also, their makeup, which is why our 2025 outlook is called building the transformation.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:02:57 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Thank you. And these, these mega forces, so AI and geopolitics and I guess, you know,</p>\n<p>2024 was a big year for democracy. A record number of elections, a profound political, shift, occurring. How does that play into the investment landscape?</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:03:15 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>So geopolitically, we continue to be in a more fragmented world where there are greater frictions to global trade, which stands in stark contrast to that post-Cold War period where there was greater globalization. Now, 2024 builds on this. As you said, there were a lot of elections that took place last year. And in many of those elections, a key theme was the incumbent was replaced by a promise of greater and an expectation of greater change.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:03:39 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>And we think that has implications for government policy going forwards. In fact, we think government policy may actually be a source of disruption rather than providing that traditional role around macro stability. Now, a good example is the US, where President elect Donald Trump's</p>\n<p>proposed protectionist policies could have mixed implications from a macroeconomic perspective.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:04:01 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>So that begs the question what's going to push back against that disruption? And here we think markets can play a key role in providing the checks and balances that actually used to take place just in government. And a good example is actually 2025. We've had the last few weeks of 2025 be marked with a dramatic surge upwards in, global government bond yields led by the US.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:04:24 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>Now, there are a number of factors driving this, but a key one we think is the potential future direction of fiscal policy and trade relations in the US. So, the key takeaway for investors is expect more volatility in markets. Now in terms of the other mega forces like AI and the low carbon transition, what is interesting here is the scale of CapEx that is expected to materialize over the next six years.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:04:49 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>It's on par with the scale that we saw in the Industrial Revolution. Now, but what's even more striking is that the speed of this, this CapEx is quite&hellip;it&rsquo;s rather quick. The industrial revolution took place over a century, whereas here we're talking about six years. So, you know, big numbers happening very,</p>\n<p>very quickly. So clearly there will be investment opportunities, particularly as the ultimate beneficiaries of that CapEx become apparent.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:05:13 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>That's the, I guess you would say, that's the outlook, and we probably move very quickly to the so what. If that outlook plays through, if the transformation starts to&hellip;to happen and we start to see that, what are the investment opportunities then that that would be pertinent for us? And how should we think about investments and think about, managing our portfolios?</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:05:32 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>So that's a good question. So, you know, we've identified three key investment themes. The first is financing the future. We think the capital markets will play a much bigger role in, in financing the the transformations I spoke about in particular private markets. So, a good example here is the build out of AI technologies. That's going to require a lot of investment in data centers, but also will likely result in an increase in global energy demand.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:05:58 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>Our second theme is rethinking investing. We think that investors will no longer be able to rely on a set and forget it approach to asset allocation. We think that calls for more dynamism when it comes to both strategic and tactical asset allocation, but also a big consequence is actually a bigger role for active management. You know, I spoke about granular investment opportunities within asset classes and active management approaches is the way you can potentially, take advantage of those.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:06:24 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>Now third and final theme is staying pro risk. This is a very uncertain and unusual investment environment. But actually, we think it's one way of taking risk is rewarded. And we're doing that with some of our shorter-term positioning, for example, leaning into US equities as we continue to expect the resilience of US corporates and also US outperformance.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:06:44 Devan Nathwani</p>\n<p>But the key here is actually being nimble. It's important to take a more scenario-based approach, which is exactly what we've done in our outlook, we've identified some scenarios which could change our future tactical positioning.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:06:56 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Great. Thank you, Devan. And, as ever, we really appreciate your insights, thank you so much for joining us. We've just scratched the surface of the outlook report. But certainly, if you would like more detail, please do get in touch. And there's a trove of information on the BlackRock website. Being nimble is really important.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:07:14 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Being aware of market dynamics, is critical. And in Smoothed Managed Funds, we try to make sure that we are agile and we're aware of markets so that we can manage that short-term volatility, we can allow our investors to participate in the market, but also to be protected by our mechanism. Well, thank you again for joining us. Until next time, goodbye.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:07:36</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p><em>LV= Investments Logo</em> For UK financial advisers only. Capital at risk</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:07:42</p>\n<p>If you'd like to find out more, get in touch</p>\n<p>Ivadviser.com </p>\n<p>0800 032 8298 </p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:advisersupportteam@LV.com\">advisersupportteam@LV.com</a></p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>00:07:49</p>\n<p>Please remember that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns. Our smoothing process helps to reduce the impact of market volatility, but it won't prevent your investment from dropping in value. </p>\n<p>45370-2025 01/25</p>\n<p>&nbsp;</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=7070ED6BA2FB929F6FF65A089427342B","editButton":null,"alt":"Still of video","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=C86ABD85D533102ABE343CF9EAEE94F1","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=7070ED6BA2FB929F6FF65A089427342B"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=2F223D35302F5DF7D1C5750840BA2836","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-megatrends-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=F956E6CE5FD4AF13BE79CC9A3E1EE7D2"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Market Perspectives: What megatrends might we see in 2025?","type":"h3"},"description":"<p>LV= CIO Adam Ruddle sits down with Devan Nathwani, Portfolio Strategist at the BlackRock Investment Institute to discuss the megatrends that could define the markets over the next twelve months and beyond.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 14 January 2025</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}},{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"d2cae6fb-bd45-4281-9817-1eed2fcc412a","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1054530811","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open video transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Macro Market Update: Q4 2024","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>Hello and welcome to our macro market update. In a historic year with over 65 national elections, of course, it was the US election result that had the starkest impact on markets. Donald Trump led a conclusive red sweep with Republicans completing the trifecta of the Senate, the House of Representatives and the White House. His expansionary fiscal policy and protectionist agenda were welcomed by surging US markets already thrilled by the prospect of easing monetary policy. The S&amp;P500 closed the year up 27% in Sterling terms.&nbsp; &nbsp;</p>\n<p>But that&rsquo;s not where the story ends. Loose fiscal policy and the threat of tariffs are fierce drivers of inflation &ndash; and given the Trump Administration policies are likely to be supportive for the US labour market, the Federal Reserve will drastically slow their easing cycle and interest rates will remain at an even higher neutral level than previously thought. Higher interest rates will of course dampen growth and we will be carefully monitoring the extent to which that is priced into US equity markets. We saw some of this come through late December following the rate cut by the Fed which included a scale back of future cuts into 2025.</p>\n<p>In UK markets, the FTSE All Share was slightly negative over the last quarter but delivered a good return for the year at 9.5%. As in the US, the interaction between UK fiscal policies that strangle growth whilst driving inflation, will damage expectations for further loosening of monetary policy.</p>\n<p>In a good year for growth investment style, allocations to Emerging Markets and Asia performed well. The MSCI Emerging Market returned 9.4% in sterling whilst MSCI Asia was 14%. Allocations to Japanese equity performed well with the TOPIX up 10%. &nbsp;</p>\n<p>Somewhat weaker, European equities were up 3% over the year. This marked a retreat of 3.9% over Q4 as recessionary fears rose, driven by concerns of the fallout from a trade war between the US and China and political instability in France and Germany. </p>\n<p>In the bond markets, the 10-year yields for US Treasuries and UK gilts, ended the year on par at 4.57%. Over 2024, this represented a notable rise for both markets, though more pronounced in the UK, increasing 108bps over the year fuelled by investor anxiety over the 40bn tax increase. Across our portfolios weakness in government bonds was broadly offset by positive performance from allocations to corporate bonds, high yield and Emerging Market Debt. </p>\n<p>Over the year, there were periods of significant volatility &ndash; in August and also in December &ndash; I&rsquo;m really pleased we navigated those periods well and that our 1-year performance was very strong across the range. In our ISA offering, for example, our smoothed gross performance ranged from 9.8% for our Extra Cautious policyholders to 14.9% for our Growth Plus fund. </p>\n<p>Looking into 2025, we continue to favour equity markets, particularly the US. It will likely be a more volatile year, and even in areas we favour &ndash; such as US tech, the ongoing risks faced by the so-called &ldquo;hyperscalers&rdquo; in their AI arms race, will be carefully considered. We will remain agile and dynamic to ensure we can pursue investment opportunities as they arise to allow our Smoothed Managed Fund investors to participate in the market whilst our smoothing mechanism provides some of that needed and valuable protection from short-term volatility.</p>\n<p>Until next time, goodbye. </p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=ABA22AE9646C5D7C6D2E44A4DE4F4045","editButton":null,"alt":"Title card - Q4 2024 Macro Market Update","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=274974E93870006072DE2FDBA89D83A6","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=ABA22AE9646C5D7C6D2E44A4DE4F4045"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=E61A5AB6AD33D5041B372F3A181F073B","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q4-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=E5A648157DCE0466CACE4346E6929812"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Macro Market Update: Q4 2024","type":"h3"},"description":"<p>With over 65 national elections across the globe and loose fiscal policy and threat of tariffs driving inflation in the US, the final quarter of 2024 was eventful.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Will Q1 2025 offer more of the same?</p>\n<p>Recorded on 14 January 2025</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}}]},{"Id":null,"tabHeading":"December 2024","tabContent":[{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"328f3cba-b125-4b52-8e4d-a190aa032484","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1037383293","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open video transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Market Perspectives: What the US election results mean for UK investors","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>00:00:14 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Hello, my name is Adam Ruddle. I'm the chief investment officer at LV, and welcome to the latest in our series of our view from the CIO.</p>\n<p>00:00:23 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Nearly 60 years ago, Robert Kennedy said, like it or not, we live in interesting times and those sentiments, as true as they were then, are just as true today over the space of seven days, we had a blockbuster UK budget and we had a set of historic election results from the US where now president-elect Trump</p>\n<p>00:00:42 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>won not only the Electoral College but also the popular vote and the Republicans, after capturing the White House, look set to regain a majority in the Senate and retain a majority in the House of Representatives. These are important events. They matter for us, they matter for our markets, they matter for how we invest. And so to delve into that, to help understand it, I'm delighted to be joined by Vivek Paul. Vivek, thank you for joining us.</p>\n<p>00:01:04 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Vivek is the Head of Portfolio Research and the UK Chief Investment Strategist for the Black Rock Investment Institute. What a great title and Vivek. Thank you so much for joining us. It&rsquo;s a real delight. Perhaps if we start with the US election.</p>\n<p>00:01:20 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>If you look at the polling, it was, it seemed like a surprise that president-elect Trump rode to victory. Certainly, so quickly, but the markets had started to price some of that in what do you think about how the markets have done that? What do you think of the market reaction as well? </p>\n<p>00:01:35 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>So you're absolutely right. And markets have been pricing this in this notion of a Trump trade had been becoming increasingly sort of popular in the media.</p>\n<p>00:01:44 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>If I look just in the week just gone, you've seen, you know, large cap US equities up best part of 4%. That makes it sort of 26% year to date colossal number small cap US equities up there. The best part of 7 1/2 percent or so, which is a sizable move and more like 20% in the year to date. And if you look at bond yields as well, you know now up to something in the order of 4.3%.</p>\n<p>00:02:05 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Which you compare to mid-September, that's a full three additional cuts that have kind of been taken out of the system. And I think what they're telling us is that markets are kind of pricing this story in the next sort of six months or so of one where US corporate growth continues to be.</p>\n<p>00:02:20 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Going about where you know there might be the expectation of tax cuts, there might be the expectation of some element of deregulation and that's supporting the risk sentiment that we're seeing in, in the broader kind of environments. And as I mentioned earlier that rates path is probably likely to be a little bit slower on the way down and it's a view that we've had for a little period of time not predicated on the idea of a Trump presidency.</p>\n<p>00:02:42 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>But I think that might be part of the catalyst for why we see maybe rates settling at a bit of a higher level. </p>\n<p>00:02:48 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>And if we think about US equities, how do you see that playing out certainly as we go into 2025, you will US equities be strong, weak, what's the?</p>\n<p>00:02:56 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Prospect US large cap equity is something that we've favoured for a while and we continue to favour.</p>\n<p>00:03:01 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>So if I think about the next 6 to 12 months, we would have an overweight to that asset class, all else equal and in large part that's predicated on this idea that you know, the AI boom, the AI revolution stands to have beneficiaries throughout the world, but particularly in the United States in.</p>\n<p>00:03:19 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>The US you're probably going to see some element of broadening out in terms of those that technologies that are occurring actually also influencing other sectors like utilities like healthcare and I think that's going to contribute to the story. </p>\n<p>00:03:35 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>And if we then kind of go beyond just the near run and maybe towards the end of 2025 or even beyond that, then the story becomes a little bit more uncertain with the president-elect likely controlling all branches of the American legislature. Then the range of outcomes that we could see is greater.</p>\n<p>00:03:55 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>And if you think about some of the stated policies around things like tariffs on China and more broadly internationally on things like immigration and what they are likely to do with regards to legal immigration, at the very least in terms of the United States of America, these have the impact of, if you like, sort of cementing this new regime environment that we're in where it's a world that's shaped by supply.</p>\n<p>00:04:18 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>A world whereby we are likely to see greater inflation.</p>\n<p>00:04:20 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Pressures and a world where there are some scenarios whereby the US continues to run away with things and really some of those imbalances are likely to persist and others whereby maybe it's not quite as rosy in outlook. So I think greater certainty in the near run, but almost paradoxically because of that maybe greater uncertainty in the long run because of the freedom that the president-elect will have. Really interesting times for the US and and like it or not, what happened in the US affects global markets. <br />\n<br />\n00:04:50 Adam Ruddle<br />\n<br />\nHow do you see those dynamics playing out in global markets? Are there risks or opportunities that you?</p>\n<p>00:04:54 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Can see the other day. We're just looking at the sort of, you know, we'll be a few a few years now after the pandemic and just kind of comparing and contrasting the economic performance of various economies around the world. And if you look at the US now relative to where one might have.</p>\n<p>00:05:08 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Expected it to be on the pre pandemic trend. It's right back at the level. The story is not the case if you look across the world though. If you think about China. If you think about the UK something like 5% down where we would have been in Germany, something like 8% down where we would have been and these are size.</p>\n<p>00:05:22 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Numbers and it does kind of beg the question as to whether or not this this sort of dispersion, this disparity that's occurring globally, is likely to continue. But I think also points to the fact that maybe regions aren't the way to think about the investment opportunities quite so much anymore. Maybe it's more to do with sectors, maybe it's more to do with what we call mega forces sort of structural.</p>\n<p>00:05:42 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Transformations that are occurring which can cut across assets.</p>\n<p>00:05:45 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Those boundaries. And so when I think about things that get us excited, you know, things like the AI transition, you know, that's part of the reason why we favour the US as a region because they happen to have a lot of names that can benefit. But actually other dynamics also matter. So other transformations that are occurring, you know, demographics, the idea that there are ageing populations in the West and in China. I think that's part to do.</p>\n<p>00:06:06 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>With why we're seeing some of those Growth Dynamics kind of starting to disperse. So. So, yeah, I think this is an environment where you're going to see less of a homogeneous story. You're going to see more of an environment where particular pockets might do particularly well.</p>\n<p>00:06:20 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Really.</p>\n<p>00:06:20 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Great. And and if we bring that closer to home, thinking about the when I turned the the blockbuster UK budget, people were worried certainly beforehand about consumers being stretched and squeezed. That concern is probably still it's still relevant and still still prevailing, but what risks and opportunities do you see there particularly for the UK?</p>\n<p>00:06:39 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Well, you're right. It was a. It was an extraordinary budget in terms of the numbers historic in many ways, it was the greatest costed, at least fiscal easing that we've seen since 2010. And I think you know, taking a step back it it looks like what's happened is that the market has repriced the path of the Bank of England.</p>\n<p>00:06:56 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Rate cuts, but it doesn't look like the sort of environment we had after to the 2022 mini budget. This is not something whereby the risk associated with government wants has materially changed. This is more the idea that the path of rates coming down is a bit slower than it might have anticipated being before because there are elements of that budget that are inflationary.</p>\n<p>00:07:16 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>It's worth sort of saying, you know why? Why did the Chancellor feel they need to do that in the 1st place and can debate the political dynamics of it. But the ultimate reason is she's trying to address something's been going on for the best part of 20-30 years, which.</p>\n<p>00:07:28 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Is structurally weak growth in the United Kingdom, led by productivity that has been lagging that of the United States, but also that of Europe by a long way. So the aim of this budget is to try and kick start that to try and kind of change the the growth prospects in the UK and ultimately the jury will be at time will tell whether or not it it is delivered.</p>\n<p>00:07:48 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>And you know the thing you'd say in with the United Kingdom, which maybe marks it out as a bit different to other regions.</p>\n<p>00:07:54 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>Across the world is that maybe there's more political stability in this region than there is elsewhere. We'll look at what's going on in Europe to the earlier point that we made. Now with the with the United States, maybe political stability in the sense of we know who's in charge and the freedom they have. But given the environment that pertains to that policy making decision, maybe greater uncertainty. So.</p>\n<p>00:08:14 Vivek Paul</p>\n<p>think in the United Kingdom, the the stage is set for maybe the ability to tackle those transformations, whether or not whether or not it's successful, I think will remain to be seen.</p>\n<p>00:08:24 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Vac as ever, thank you for those insights. Really interesting. Really helpful set of comments.</p>\n<p>00:08:29 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Interesting. Feels like code for uncertain and volatile, and over the short term we know that investing in the markets can feel uncomfortable because of that. We know too that over the long term not investing is similarly uncomfortable, and there will be lost opportunities and potentially lost returns through keeping your money out of the market.</p>\n<p>00:08:49 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Into cash, our smooth managed product gives you a vehicle a way to participate in the market but also be protected from some of those short term sharp bouts of volatility.</p>\n<p>00:09:00 Adam Ruddle</p>\n<p>Well, thank you so much for joining us until next time. Goodbye.</p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=8B4A2AC813C9E31F5E23CFF84C57AE11","editButton":null,"alt":"Still of video","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=8D597E6F86E7879F929E9B0F02740E37","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=8B4A2AC813C9E31F5E23CFF84C57AE11"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=AF488B4392F7F89D770FA51627541EEC","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/market-perspectives-us-election-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=B46D6D978C12AAFB99BF644374DECD64"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Market Perspectives: What the US election results mean for UK investors","type":"h3"},"description":"<p>How have markets reacted to the new President-elect?&nbsp;</p>\n<p>LV= CIO Adam Ruddle sits down with Vivek Paul, Head of Portfolio Research and UK Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock Investment Institute, for an insight into what changes we might expect from US equities as we look to 2025.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 12 November 2024</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}},{"name":"videoOneThird","reactName":"Athena.videoOneThird","id":"30b81902-5659-47a2-915b-b8248517ac2e","type":"dynamic","props":{"Id":null,"videoAlignment":"one-third","mediaAlignment":"right","video":{"id":"https://vimeo.com/1037382415","type":"vimeo","transcriptLabel":"Open video transcript","transcriptHeading":{"label":"Transcript - Macro Market Update: Q3 2024","type":""},"transcriptContent":"<p>A return to sharp market volatility over July and August, a Chinese stimulus package in September, a blockbuster UK budget in October and a set of decisive US election results in November &ndash; here&rsquo;s hoping for a quiet December. Welcome to our market update. </p>\n<p>In early August, the VIX index, a measure of volatility and uncertainty in equity markets, had an intraday high that hearkened back to levels not seen since March 2020, the midst of the market infection by the Covid crisis. A dislocation across two central banks &ndash; the Bank of Japan who surprisingly increased their policy rate and the Federal Reserve who opted to hold their rates and instead signal a faster pace of cuts to come. These two measures, on the same day, impacted expectations of interest rates which in turn caused a rotation of a strengthening Japanese Yen and a weakening US Dollar, resulting in a rapid unwind of the Dollar-Yen Carry trade. </p>\n<p>Volatility was also fuelled by a weaker US jobs report that suggested maybe the Fed had left it too late to cut rates and the US was already in a recession. Fortunately, cooler heads returned to the markets, helped by resilient corporate earnings, clearer messaging from the Bank of Japan and the signal from the Federal Reserve that a rate cut was imminent in September. </p>\n<p>US markets recovered &ndash; though in Sterling, the S&amp;P500 was flat over the quarter. Expected rate cuts led to a shift in sector performance with previous winners lagging and technology, which had been the driving force behind the S&amp;P500, delivered an underwhelming, albeit positive, return. </p>\n<p>In fact, across the board, global equities continued to climb over the third quarter. Emerging markets outperformed developed markets, led by China where Chinese stimulus measures were announced in September &ndash; and importantly, the indication that more measures could follow. &nbsp;Thailand and South Africa also performed strongly where, for the latter, policy rate cuts and the smooth formation of their coalition government supported investor confidence. </p>\n<p>Closer to home, mixed responses to the UK Budget were unsurprising with many commentators still grappling with a budget dependent on growth dampening the growth prospects of businesses. Higher National Insurance for employers will need to be absorbed and I doubt it will be through subdued profit margins &ndash; more probably passed to consumers &ndash; a form of sales tax and, possible job cuts and the potential for lower wage growth prospects for employees. Increased costs for consumers and the fiscal expansion, the additional government spending, are all inflationary and likely to mean that, to tame this future inflation, higher interest rates will be with us for longer.</p>\n<p>Across the pond, we avoided a contested election which would have hurt markets. Instead, with the White House and the Senate already &lsquo;locked-in&rsquo;, the Republicans are expected to capture the trifecta by retaining control of the House of Representatives as well. This would make it much easier for President-Elect Trump to push through his policies. Tax cuts and a tariff led protectionist agenda will likely also drive up inflation. </p>\n<p>Although we&rsquo;ve had a rate cut from the Federal Reserve in November, and potentially, one in December too &ndash; the US Central Bank will likely have to slow further easing. We expect interest rates to remain higher for longer. The President-elect&rsquo;s policies are expected to support the Dollar but limit growth internationally. This will be particularly challenging for European economies whilst it is widely believed that China will have further stimulus packages waiting in the wings. The tax cuts also extend to businesses, and along with deregulation and support for M&amp;A initiatives, US shares may continue to strengthen.</p>\n<p>Geopolitical fragmentation will persist with tariffs, or the possibility of tariffs, adding further tensions and uncertainty. This may continue to support allocations to Gold which has performed very strongly so far this year.</p>\n<p>I&rsquo;m particularly pleased that our portfolios continue to benefit from our investment insights, our allocations and our positioning. Whilst we&rsquo;ve used volatility to pursue investment opportunities and strengthen our returns, we have also been able to continue to cushion our SMF investors from short-term volatility. A smoothed return continues to be as important, and as valuable, as ever. </p>\n<p>Until next time, goodbye. </p>","poster":{"html":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=504240DFFB4535B7A655C4EA118FF784","editButton":null,"alt":"Title card - Q3 2024 Macro Market Update","renditions":{"0":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=768&amp;ch=386&amp;hash=B39D4BB320C0EAF3D74AC80D380E5291","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=1536&amp;ch=772&amp;hash=504240DFFB4535B7A655C4EA118FF784"},"769":{"1x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=367&amp;ch=207&amp;hash=BCFEE6A19213F3E55ECC78433BEEF971","2x":"/-/life/media/athena/images/video-posters/macro-market-q3-2024-720x405.jpg?cx=0&amp;cy=0&amp;cw=734&amp;ch=414&amp;hash=0EDCA2DBB6276F6114A91DF1395D2666"}},"dynamicrenditions":null},"posterVimeo":null},"titleHeading":{"label":"Macro Market Update: Q3 2024","type":"h3"},"description":"<p>A return to sharp market volatility over July and August, a Chinese stimulus package in September, a blockbuster UK budget in October and a set of decisive US election results in November.</p>\n<p>LV= CIO, Adam Ruddle examines an eventful quarter in this macro market update.</p>\n<p>Recorded on 12 November 2024</p>","isEditMode":false,"html":null}}]}]}});</script>
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